Union St Gilloise vs. Ajax Prediction and Betting Tips

The Europa League playoffs are set to deliver an electrifying encounter as Union Saint-Gilloise hosts Ajax Amsterdam on Thursday, February 13, 2025, at the Stade Roi Baudouin in Brussels. This match promises to be a thrilling showdown between two teams with contrasting forms and aspirations in the competition. Whether you’re a football enthusiast or a betting aficionado, this article provides a comprehensive analysis, predictions, and betting tips to guide you through this exciting fixture.

Match Overview

• Date: February 13, 2025
• Time: 18:45 (local time) / 12:45 PM ET
• Venue: Stade Roi Baudouin, Brussels
• Competition: UEFA Europa League Knockout Round Play-offs

Team Form and Analysis

Union Saint-Gilloise: The Belgian Underdogs

Union Saint-Gilloise has been a revelation in the Europa League this season. With a solid home record, they remain unbeaten in their four home matches, boasting two wins and two draws18. Their recent form across all competitions has been impressive, with four wins in their last five matches, including a 2-1 victory over Sint-Truidense VV in their most recent outing.

Under the guidance of coach Sébastien Pocognoli, the team has demonstrated tactical flexibility, combining a sturdy defense with quick counter-attacks. This approach has been particularly effective at home, where they have scored an average of 2.0 goals per game in their last 10 matches.

Key Stats:

• Home Form (Europa League): 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
• Recent Form (Last 5 Matches): 4 wins, 1 loss
• Goals Scored (Last 10 Matches): 20 goals (2.0 per game)

Ajax Amsterdam: The Dutch Giants

Ajax, one of Europe’s most storied clubs, enters this match with a mixed bag of results. While they have been dominant in the Eredivisie, their away form in the Europa League has been less convincing, with just one win, one draw, and two defeats in their last four away matches.

Under manager Francesco Farioli, Ajax has been striving to recapture their trademark attacking style. However, defensive vulnerabilities have plagued them, particularly in away fixtures. Their recent 2-1 victory over Feyenoord Rotterdam provided a much-needed morale boost, but consistency remains a concern.

Key Stats:

• Away Form (Europa League): 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses
• Recent Form (Last 5 Matches): 3 wins, 2 losses
• Goals Scored (Last 10 Matches): 15 goals (1.5 per game)

Head-to-Head and Historical Context

Interestingly, this will be the first competitive meeting between Union Saint-Gilloise and Ajax, adding an element of unpredictability to the match. Both teams will be looking to make a statement in this high-stakes encounter.

Betting Tips and Predictions

Match Outcome

Union Saint-Gilloise’s strong home form and recent momentum make them slight favorites. Ajax, despite their pedigree, has struggled away from home.

• Prediction: Union Saint-Gilloise to win or draw (Double Chance: 1X)
• Odds: 2.28 (1win)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Given the attacking prowess of both teams, this market is highly appealing. Union Saint-Gilloise has seen BTTS in 8 of their last 10 matches, while Ajax has scored in 7 of their last 10.

• Prediction: Yes
• Odds: 1.60 (Paripesa)

Total Goals

Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently. Union Saint-Gilloise has seen over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches, while Ajax has had over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last .

• Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
• Odds: 1.72

Correct Score

A closely contested match is expected, with both teams likely to find the net.

• Prediction: Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 Ajax
• Odds: 8.5

Key Betting Markets and Odds

Why Union Saint-Gilloise Could Win

• Home Advantage: Unbeaten in their last four Europa League home matches.
• Recent Form: Four wins in their last five matches across all competitions.
• Tactical Discipline: Solid defensive structure combined with effective counter-attacks.

Why Ajax Could Win

• Attacking Quality: Averaging 1.7 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
• Pedigree: Experience in high-stakes European competitions.
• Morale Boost: Recent victory over Feyenoord Rotterdam.

Final Thoughts

This Europa League playoff match between Union Saint-Gilloise and Ajax promises to be a captivating encounter. While Union Saint-Gilloise’s home form and recent momentum make them slight favorites, Ajax’s attacking prowess cannot be underestimated. Our prediction leans towards a 2-1 victory for Union Saint-Gilloise, with both teams likely to score.

For bettors, the Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals markets offer excellent value. As always, remember to gamble responsibly and enjoy the match!