Shara Magomedov vs Michael Page Prediction and Betting Tips

The upcoming UFC fight between Shara “Bullet” Magomedov and Michael “Venom” Page on February 1, 2025, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, is one of the most anticipated matchups in recent memory. This middleweight showdown promises to be a thrilling encounter between two of the most dynamic strikers in the sport. Let’s dive into the details, predictions, and betting tips for this exciting bout.

Fighter Profiles

Shara Magomedov

• Country: Russia
• Age: 30
• Height: 6’2″ (188 cm)
• Weight: 185 lbs (83.9 kg)
• Reach: 73″ (185 cm)
• Stance: Orthodox
• Record: 15-0-0
• Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute (SLpM): 6.82
• Strike Accuracy: 65%
• Takedown Average: 0.00
• Takedown Accuracy: 0%
• Submission Average: 0.0

Shara Magomedov is an undefeated fighter known for his relentless Muay Thai pressure. With a striking volume of 6.82 significant strikes per minute, he overwhelms his opponents with constant forward movement and high output. Magomedov’s confidence and unbeaten record make him a formidable opponent in the octagon.

Michael Page

• Country: England
• Age: 37
• Height: 6’3″ (191 cm)
• Weight: 185 lbs (83.9 kg)
• Reach: 79″ (201 cm)
• Stance: Switch
• Record: 22-3-0
• Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute (SLpM): 2.38
• Strike Accuracy: 65%
• Takedown Average: 0.44
• Takedown Accuracy: 25%
• Submission Average: 0.0

Michael “Venom” Page is a veteran fighter known for his unorthodox and elusive kickboxing style. With a significant reach advantage and a unique approach to striking, Page can frustrate his opponents and control the range effectively. Despite his lower striking volume, his counter-striking ability and fight IQ make him a dangerous adversary.

Tale of the Tape

Strengths and Weaknesses

Shara Magomedov: Strengths

1. Pressure Striking Machine: Magomedov’s high striking volume and relentless forward movement put immense pressure on his opponents.
2. Unbeaten Confidence: His undefeated record adds an aura of invincibility, which can mentally wear down his opponents.
3. Striking Accuracy: With a 65% strike accuracy, Magomedov lands a significant portion of his strikes.

Weaknesses

1. Ground Game: Magomedov’s zero takedown attempts in UFC competition leave questions about his grappling skills.
2. Defensive Vulnerabilities: He absorbs 4.49 significant strikes per minute, which could be exploited by a skilled counter-striker like Page.

Michael Page: Strengths

1. Reach and Counter-Striking: Page’s 6-inch reach advantage and elite counter-striking ability are crucial against an aggressive opponent like Magomedov.
2. Elusive Movement: His unorthodox style and elusive movement can frustrate strikers who prefer linear pressure fighting.
3. Veteran Fight IQ: Page’s experience against world-class strikers gives him the knowledge to control range and pace.

Weaknesses

1. Low Volume: Page’s low striking volume (2.38 SLpM) could cost him rounds if he doesn’t let his hands go.
2. Takedown Defense: While Page has a decent takedown defense rate, his grappling skills are not his strongest suit.

Betting Analysis

Odds Breakdown

• Shara Magomedov: -185
• Michael “Venom” Page: +155

Magomedov is the favorite due to his pressure, high striking volume, and undefeated record. However, Page presents an intriguing underdog play with his reach, counter-striking, and veteran experience.

Prop Bets to Watch

1. Fight to Go the Distance (+110): Magomedov’s relentless pressure could be countered by Page’s defense, potentially extending the fight.
2. Magomedov by KO/TKO (+120): Given Magomedov’s striking volume, an early finish is possible.
3. Page by Decision (+200): If Page can keep Magomedov at range and control the pace, he could edge out a points win.

Prediction

This fight is a true clash of styles—Magomedov’s high-volume striking versus Page’s counter-heavy, elusive approach. While Page has the tools to disrupt Magomedov’s rhythm, his low output and tendency to backpedal could cost him rounds. Magomedov’s relentless pressure and striking volume give him the edge in this matchup.

Prediction: Shara Magomedov wins by KO/TKO in the second round.

Conclusion

The Shara Magomedov vs. Michael Page fight is set to be an electrifying encounter between two elite strikers. Magomedov’s relentless pressure and high output make him the favorite, but Page’s reach and counter-striking ability provide a compelling underdog narrative. Bettors should consider the odds and prop bets carefully, as this fight could go either way depending on the fighters’ strategies and execution.

Stay tuned for this exciting bout on February 1, 2025, and may the best fighter win!