Sergei Pavlovich vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Prediction and Betting Tips

On February 1, 2025, UFC Fight Night in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, will feature a heavyweight showdown between Sergei Pavlovich and Jairzinho “Bigi Boy” Rozenstruik. Both fighters are renowned for their knockout power, promising an electrifying encounter.

Tale of the Tape

Data sourced from Tony’s Picks.

Fighter Analysis

Sergei Pavlovich

Pavlovich is known for his aggressive fighting style, averaging 5.86 significant strikes landed per minute. His 84-inch reach allows him to keep opponents at bay while delivering powerful punches. However, his defense has shown vulnerabilities, absorbing 5.03 significant strikes per minute in his last fight. Despite a recent two-fight losing streak, including a knockout loss to Tom Aspinall and a decision loss to Alexander Volkov, Pavlovich remains a formidable force in the heavyweight division.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Rozenstruik is a patient and calculated striker, boasting a 49% strike accuracy. His counter-striking ability has led to several highlight-reel knockouts. While his output is lower, averaging 3.75 significant strikes per minute, his precision makes him a constant threat. Rozenstruik’s durability and experience against top-tier opponents add to his credentials as a dangerous underdog.

Betting Odds and Analysis

As of January 30, 2025, the betting odds favor Pavlovich, with lines ranging from -310 to -235, depending on the sportsbook. Rozenstruik is the underdog, with odds between +185 and +260.

Prediction and Betting Tips

Given both fighters’ knockout power, the bout is unlikely to go the distance. Pavlovich’s reach and aggressive style may overwhelm Rozenstruik early, potentially leading to a first or second-round stoppage. However, Rozenstruik’s counter-striking presents a significant threat if he can weather the initial storm.

Recommended Bets

• Fight to Not Go the Distance: Considering both fighters’ finishing abilities, an early stoppage is probable.
• Pavlovich by KO/TKO: If Pavlovich secures a victory, it’s likely through an early knockout.
• Rozenstruik by KO/TKO: As an underdog, Rozenstruik offers value with his knockout potential, especially if he capitalizes on counter-striking opportunities.

Conclusion

This heavyweight clash promises excitement, with both fighters eager to make a statement. While Pavlovich’s aggression and reach advantage position him as the favorite, Rozenstruik’s precision and counter-striking prowess make him a live underdog. Bettors should consider the fight’s high likelihood of ending via knockout when placing wagers.

Please gamble responsibly and consult multiple sources before making betting decisions.