Said Nurmagomedov vs. Vinicius Oliveira Prediction and Betting Tips

The upcoming bantamweight clash between Said Nurmagomedov and Vinicius “LokDog” Oliveira at UFC Fight Night on February 1, 2025, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, has garnered significant attention from MMA enthusiasts and bettors alike. This high-stakes bout features two dynamic fighters, each with unique skill sets and aspirations to ascend the bantamweight rankings.

Fighter Profiles

Said Nurmagomedov

• Nationality: Russia
• Age: 32
• Height: 5’8″ (173 cm)
• Weight: 135 lbs (61.2 kg)
• Reach: 70″ (178 cm)
• Stance: Orthodox
• Record: 18 wins, 3 losses
• Significant Strikes Landed per Minute (SLpM): 3.55
• Striking Accuracy: 47%
• Takedown Average: 1.01 per 15 minutes
• Takedown Accuracy: 16%
• Submission Average: 1.4 per 15 minutes

Nurmagomedov is renowned for his versatile striking and formidable submission skills. His ability to seamlessly transition between striking and grappling makes him a formidable opponent in the bantamweight division. However, his takedown accuracy indicates room for improvement in securing takedowns.

Vinicius “LokDog” Oliveira

• Nationality: Brazil
• Age: 29
• Height: 5’9″ (175 cm)
• Weight: 135 lbs (61.2 kg)
• Reach: 70″ (178 cm)
• Stance: Switch
• Record: 21 wins, 3 losses
• Significant Strikes Landed per Minute (SLpM): 5.87
• Striking Accuracy: 43%
• Takedown Average: 0.60 per 15 minutes
• Takedown Accuracy: 60%
• Submission Average: 0.6 per 15 minutes

Oliveira boasts a high-volume striking approach, often overwhelming opponents with his relentless pace. His switch stance allows for dynamic striking angles, and his impressive takedown accuracy provides a well-rounded offensive arsenal. However, his aggressive style can sometimes leave him vulnerable to counters and submissions.

Betting Odds and Analysis

As of January 29, 2025, the betting odds favor Nurmagomedov at -175, with Oliveira as a +145 underdog.

Prop Bets to Consider

• Fight to Go the Distance (-120): Given both fighters’ durability and finishing abilities, this is a plausible outcome.
• Nurmagomedov by Submission (+200): Considering his higher submission average and Oliveira’s potential defensive gaps, this bet offers value.
• Oliveira by Decision (+250): If Oliveira can maintain his striking volume and control the fight’s pace, winning by decision is a viable path.

Prediction

Nurmagomedov’s blend of striking, grappling, and submission threats positions him as the safer pick. However, Oliveira’s relentless striking output ensures he remains a constant threat throughout the bout. It’s anticipated that Nurmagomedov will capitalize on Oliveira’s defensive grappling vulnerabilities, potentially securing a submission victory in the later rounds.

Official Prediction: Said Nurmagomedov via Submission (Round 3).

Conclusion

This bantamweight showdown is pivotal for both fighters’ careers. A victory for Nurmagomedov would solidify his position for a future ranked opponent, while an upset by Oliveira could catapult him into the division’s spotlight. Fans can anticipate a technical and explosive encounter.

Tune in to UFC Fight Night on February 1, 2025, streaming live on ESPN+. Who are you backing? Share your predictions in the comments and let’s enjoy this thrilling matchup!