Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao: Prediction, Betting Tips

Posted on April 19, 2025 by author in Football

The upcoming clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao is set to be a thrilling encounter in La Liga. Scheduled for April 20, 2025, at the iconic Santiago Bernabéu, this match promises to be a high-stakes battle between two of Spain’s most storied clubs. Real Madrid, currently second in the league, will be looking to close the gap on leaders Barcelona, while Athletic Bilbao, sitting in fourth place, aims to secure a spot in the Champions League. In this article, we will delve into predictions, betting tips, analysis, and key statistics to provide a comprehensive overview of this exciting fixture.

Team Form and Recent Performances

Real Madrid

Real Madrid has had a mixed run of form recently. They have won just one of their last five matches across all competitions, including a disappointing 2-1 home loss to Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals. Despite this, they remain strong contenders in La Liga, having secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Deportivo Alaves in their last league outing. The team has been struggling with injuries and suspensions, with key players like Kylian Mbappé and Éder Militão unavailable for this match.

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, has been in impressive form. They are unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions, including a 2-0 victory over Rangers in the UEFA Europa League quarterfinals. Their recent 3-1 win against Rayo Vallecano in La Liga has boosted their confidence as they head into this crucial fixture. Bilbao’s solid defensive performances have been a cornerstone of their success, with five clean sheets in their last eight games.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical rivalry between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, often referred to as “El Viejo Clásico,” adds an extra layer of excitement to this match. In their previous 247 encounters, Real Madrid has emerged victorious 123 times, while Athletic Bilbao has won 79 matches, with 45 games ending in draws. The reverse fixture earlier this season saw Athletic Bilbao secure a 2-1 home win, and they will be looking to complete a rare league double over Real Madrid.

Key Players to Watch

Real Madrid

Vinicius Junior: The Brazilian winger has been a standout performer for Real Madrid this season, providing crucial goals and assists. His pace and dribbling skills make him a constant threat to opposition defenses.
Eduardo Camavinga: The young French midfielder has been instrumental in Real Madrid’s midfield, showcasing his ability to control the tempo of the game and break up opposition attacks.
Thibaut Courtois: The Belgian goalkeeper has been in excellent form, making crucial saves to keep his team in contention in tight matches.

Athletic Bilbao

Nico Williams: The young forward has been in scintillating form, scoring important goals for Bilbao. His ability to find space and finish clinically makes him a key player to watch.
Oihan Sancet: The midfielder has been a creative force for Bilbao, providing assists and scoring goals. His vision and passing ability are crucial to Bilbao’s attacking play.
Unai Simón: The Spanish international goalkeeper has been a rock at the back for Bilbao, making crucial saves and commanding his area with authority.

Tactical Analysis

Real Madrid

Under the guidance of Carlo Ancelotti, Real Madrid typically employs a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on quick transitions and exploiting the flanks. The full-backs, particularly Dani Carvajal and Ferland Mendy, play a crucial role in providing width and supporting the attack. In midfield, the trio of Camavinga, Luka Modric, and Federico Valverde offers a blend of creativity, control, and defensive solidity. Up front, Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo provide pace and flair, while Karim Benzema leads the line with his experience and goal-scoring prowess.

Athletic Bilbao

Ernesto Valverde’s Athletic Bilbao usually sets up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing defensive organization and quick counter-attacks. The double pivot of Mikel Vesga and Dani García provides a solid shield in front of the defense, while the attacking trio of Nico Williams, Oihan Sancet, and Iñaki Williams offers pace and creativity. Up front, Gorka Guruzeta leads the line, looking to capitalize on any opportunities created by his teammates.

Betting Tips and Odds

Prediction

Given Real Madrid’s strong home record and historical dominance in this fixture, they are the favorites to win this match. However, Athletic Bilbao’s recent form and defensive solidity cannot be overlooked. A closely contested match is expected, with Real Madrid likely to edge out a narrow victory.

Betting Tips

Result – Real Madrid Win: Despite their recent struggles, Real Madrid’s home advantage and quality should see them secure a win. The odds for a Real Madrid victory are attractive, making this a solid bet.
Both Teams to Score – Yes: Both teams have shown they can score goals, and with the attacking talent on display, it’s likely that both sides will find the back of the net.
Under 2.5 Goals: Given the defensive strengths of both teams, a low-scoring match is a plausible outcome. Betting on under 2.5 goals could offer good value.

Betting Odds

Real Madrid Win: 1.77
Draw: 4.07
Athletic Bilbao Win: 4.89
Both Teams to Score (Yes): 1.70
Under 2.5 Goals: 2.18

Key Statistics

Real Madrid’s Home Record: Real Madrid has won 12 of their 15 home matches this season, drawing one and losing two.
Athletic Bilbao’s Away Form: Bilbao is unbeaten in their last three away matches, with two draws and one win.
Head-to-Head: In the last 36 matches, Real Madrid has won 25 times, while Athletic Bilbao has won five times, with six matches ending in draws.
Goals Scored: Real Madrid has scored an average of 2.06 goals per match this season, while Athletic Bilbao has scored 1.58 goals per match.

Conclusion

The Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao match promises to be an exciting encounter with significant implications for both teams. Real Madrid will be looking to maintain their title challenge, while Athletic Bilbao aims to secure a top-four finish. With both teams boasting talented squads and strong recent form, this match is set to be a closely contested battle. Whether you’re a fan of tactical football, betting enthusiast, or simply looking forward to an entertaining game, this fixture has something for everyone. Be sure to tune in and witness the drama unfold at the Santiago Bernabéu.