Paula Badosa vs Olga Danilovic betting prediction, betting tips and odds

The upcoming fourth-round match at the 2025 Australian Open between 11th seed Paula Badosa and Serbia’s Olga Danilovic promises to be a thrilling encounter. Both players have showcased remarkable performances in the tournament, setting the stage for a highly competitive showdown.

Paula Badosa’s Journey

Paula Badosa, currently ranked 11th in the world, began her 2025 season with early exits in both the Brisbane International and the Adelaide International. However, she has found her rhythm at the Australian Open. Badosa commenced her campaign with a straight-sets victory over China’s Wang Xinyu, followed by a dominant win against Australian wildcard Talia Gibson. In the third round, she faced 17th-seeded Marta Kostyuk and secured a hard-fought 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 win to advance to the Round of 16.

Olga Danilovic’s Ascendancy

Olga Danilovic, ranked 55th, has been one of the tournament’s standout performers. She began with a 6-4, 6-4 win over Arantxa Rus and then delivered an impressive 6-1, 6-2 victory against 25th seed Liudmila Samsonova. Danilovic’s most notable achievement came in the third round, where she upset seventh seed Jessica Pegula with a 7-6(1), 6-1 win, marking her first appearance in the fourth round of a non-clay Grand Slam.

Head-to-Head Analysis

The head-to-head record between Badosa and Danilovic stands at 2-1 in favor of Danilovic. Their most recent encounter was in Guadalajara in 2019, where Danilovic emerged victorious with a 6-4, 7-5 scoreline.

Betting Odds and Prediction

According to BetMGM, the odds are as follows:

• Moneyline: Paula Badosa -210, Olga Danilovic +160
• Handicap Bets: Badosa -1.5 (-110), Danilovic +1.5 (-160)
• Total Games: Over 21.5 (-125), Under 21.5 (-115)

Badosa has hit 94 winners in her three matches, winning 69% of her first-serve points. Danilovic, on the other hand, has recorded 89 winners, winning 74% of her first-serve points. Notably, Danilovic has faced only nine break points, being broken twice, while Badosa has faced 20 break points, being broken six times. If Danilovic can maintain pressure on Badosa’s serve, she stands a strong chance. However, considering Badosa’s recent form, she is favored to win, potentially in three sets.

Conclusion

The match between Paula Badosa and Olga Danilovic is poised to be an exciting contest, with both players demonstrating exceptional skill and determination. Tennis enthusiasts can look forward to a high-quality encounter as these two athletes vie for a spot in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open.