Palmeiras vs. Botafogo SP Prediction and Betting Tips

Posted on February 19, 2025 by author in Football

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The upcoming clash between Palmeiras and Botafogo SP in the Brazil Campeonato Paulista on February 20, 2025, promises to be an exciting encounter. With both teams vying for a spot in the knockout stages, this match holds significant importance. In this article, we’ll dive deep into the prediction, betting tips, and odds for this game, providing you with all the insights you need to make informed decisions.

Match Overview

The match will take place at Allianz Parque in São Paulo, with kickoff scheduled for 22:30 local time. Palmeiras, the reigning champions, are looking to secure their position in the top four, while Botafogo SP aims to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Key Details:

Date: February 20, 2025
Time: 22:30 (Local Time)
Venue: Allianz Parque, São Paulo
Competition: Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Team Form and Performance

Palmeiras

Palmeiras, currently 4th in Group D with 17 points, have been inconsistent in their recent performances. They are unbeaten in their last six matches but have drawn four of them, including a goalless draw against São Paulo in their last outing. Their home form has been solid, with three wins, three draws, and three losses in their last ten home games.

Recent Form: D-W-D-D-W
Goals Scored: 15 in the last 10 matches (1.5 per game)
Goals Conceded: 7 in the last 10 matches (0.7 per game)
Key Players: Raphael Veiga (11 goals), Estêvão (12 goals), and J. López (10 goals).

Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP, sitting 3rd in Group A with 11 points, has shown resilience in recent games. They are unbeaten in their last four matches, including a 1-0 win against RB Bragantino. However, their away form has been shaky, with three wins, four losses, and three draws in their last ten away games.

Recent Form: D-W-W-D-D
Goals Scored: 6 in the last 10 matches (0.6 per game)
Goals Conceded: 8 in the last 10 matches (0.8 per game)
Key Players: J. Savarino (7 assists) and Tiquinho Soares (leading scorer).

Head-to-Head (H2H) Analysis

The historical record between these two teams heavily favors Palmeiras. Out of 96 encounters, Palmeiras has won 59 times, while Botafogo SP has managed only 12 victories, with 25 matches ending in draws.

Recent H2H Results:

23.05.2024: Botafogo SP 0-0 Palmeiras (Copa Do Brasil)
03.05.2024: Palmeiras 2-1 Botafogo SP (Copa Do Brasil)
09.03.2024: Palmeiras 1-0 Botafogo SP (Paulista – A1)
20.01.2023: Botafogo SP 0-1 Palmeiras (Paulista – A1).

Palmeiras has dominated recent encounters, winning three of the last five matches and keeping clean sheets in four of them.

Betting Tips and Odds

Winner Prediction

Palmeiras is the clear favorite to win this match, with a 79% probability of victory according to BetClan’s algorithm. Their superior squad depth, home advantage, and historical dominance over Botafogo SP make them the safer bet.

Odds: Palmeiras (1.22), Draw (5.5), Botafogo SP (15).

Total Goals Prediction

The match is expected to see Over 2.5 goals, with a 61% probability. Palmeiras’ attacking prowess and Botafogo SP’s occasional defensive lapses suggest a high-scoring game.

Odds: Over 2.5 (1.80), Under 2.5 (2.00).

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

There’s a 63% probability that both teams will not score. Palmeiras’ strong defense and Botafogo SP’s struggles in front of goal make this a likely outcome.

Odds: Yes (2.50), No (1.50).

Correct Score Prediction

A 3-0 victory for Palmeiras is a risky but plausible bet, with a 12% probability. This aligns with their recent form and head-to-head dominance.

Odds: 3-0 (8.00).

Key Factors to Consider

Home Advantage: Palmeiras has a strong record at Allianz Parque, making them the favorites.
Injuries and Suspensions: Palmeiras’ Gabriel Menino and Zé Rafael are suspended, which could impact their midfield stability.
Botafogo SP’s Resilience: Despite being underdogs, Botafogo SP has shown they can grind out results, especially in tight games.
Weather Conditions: The match will be played in São Paulo’s humid climate, which could affect player stamina and gameplay.

Conclusion

The Palmeiras vs. Botafogo SP match is set to be a thrilling encounter, with Palmeiras holding the upper hand. For bettors, focusing on a Palmeiras win, Over 2.5 goals, and Both Teams to Score: No seems like the safest options. However, always consider the latest team news and form before placing your bets.

Whether you’re a fan or a bettor, this match promises excitement and drama. Tune in on February 20, 2025, and witness the action unfold at Allianz Parque!

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.