Newport vs. Carlisle Prediction and Betting Tips

Newport vs. Carlisle Prediction and Betting Tips

Posted on February 9, 2025 by in Football
Newport vs. Carlisle Prediction and Betting Tips
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The upcoming clash between Newport County and Carlisle United in England’s League Two on February 11, 2025, promises to be an exciting encounter. Both teams are fighting to improve their standings, and this match could be pivotal for their seasons. In this article, we’ll dive into the latest predictions, betting tips, and odds to help you make informed decisions.

Match Overview

The match will take place at Rodney Parade, Newport County’s home ground, with kickoff scheduled for 19:45 UK time. Newport County currently sits in 17th place with 36 points, while Carlisle United is struggling at the bottom of the table with just 21 points. Despite their positions, both teams have shown flashes of potential, making this a highly anticipated fixture.

Team Form and Recent Performances

Newport County

Newport County has been inconsistent this season, with 10 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses in 29 matches. However, they’ve shown resilience in their recent games, winning 3 of their last 5 matches. Their offensive output has been decent, scoring 19 goals in their last 10 games, but their defense has been leaky, conceding the same number of goals.

Key players like A. Driscoll-Glennon, who has provided 5 assists, and C. Baker-Richardson, a consistent attacker, will be crucial for Newport’s chances.

Carlisle United

Carlisle United’s season has been disappointing, with only 5 wins, 6 draws, and 18 losses in 29 matches. They’ve lost 3 of their last 5 games, and their offensive struggles are evident, scoring just 8 goals in their last 10 matches. Defensively, they’ve conceded 16 goals in the same period.

Carlisle’s key players include J. Mellish, a solid defender, and D. Butterworth, who will need to step up in attack.

Head-to-Head (H2H) Analysis

The historical record between these two teams is evenly balanced. In their last 10 encounters, Newport County has won 4 times, Carlisle has won 3 times, and 3 matches have ended in draws. The most recent meeting in January 2023 saw Carlisle win 2-0, but Newport County has had the upper hand in previous seasons.

Betting Tips and Predictions

Winner Prediction

Newport County enters this match as the slight favorite, with a 44% chance of winning, compared to Carlisle’s 39%. This is largely due to Newport’s home advantage and slightly better recent form.

Tip: Newport County to win at odds of 3.20.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defense, making BTTS: Yes a strong option. Newport County has seen BTTS in 70% of their last 10 games, while Carlisle has a 50% BTTS rate in the same period.

Tip: BTTS: Yes at odds of 1.629.

Total Goals (Over/Under 2.5)

Newport County’s matches have averaged 3.8 goals in their last 10 games, with 7 matches going over 2.5 goals. Carlisle’s games have been less high-scoring, but the trend suggests an open game.

Tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.33.

Correct Score Prediction

A likely outcome is a 2-1 win for Newport County, which aligns with their recent form and Carlisle’s defensive struggles.

Key Statistics

  • Newport County: Scored 40 goals and conceded 47 in 29 matches.
  • Carlisle United: Scored 23 goals and conceded 48 in 29 matches.
  • Recent Form: Newport County (WWLWL), Carlisle United (LLLWL).

Odds Comparison

Here’s a quick comparison of the best odds available for this match:

  • Newport County to win: 3.20 (Marathonbet)
  • Draw: 3.38 (Marathonbet)
  • Carlisle United to win: 2.20 (Titanbet)
  • Over 2.5 goals: 1.33 (CapperTek)
  • BTTS: Yes: 1.62 (CapperTek).

Final Thoughts

This match is a crucial one for both teams, with Newport County looking to climb the table and Carlisle United fighting to avoid relegation. Newport’s home advantage and slightly better form make them the favorites, but Carlisle’s desperation could lead to a competitive game.

For bettors, Newport County to winBTTS: Yes, and Over 2.5 goals are the most promising options. Always remember to gamble responsibly and consider all factors before placing your bets.

By analyzing team form, head-to-head records, and betting odds, this article provides a comprehensive guide to the Newport vs. Carlisle match. Whether you’re a fan or a bettor, these insights will help you enjoy the game to the fullest.

Good luck, and may the best team win!

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