Monaco vs. Benfica Prediction and Betting Tips

The UEFA Champions League knockout stage is set to deliver another thrilling encounter as AS Monaco hosts SL Benfica on February 12, 2025, at the iconic Stade Louis II in Monaco. This high-stakes match promises to be a clash of titans, with both teams vying for a spot in the coveted round of 16. In this article, we’ll dive deep into the Monaco vs. Benfica prediction, analyze the betting tips and odds, and explore the key factors that could influence the outcome of this exciting fixture.

Match Overview

• Competition: UEFA Champions League Knockout Stage
• Date: February 12, 2025
• Kickoff Time: 20:00 GMT / 21:00 CET
• Venue: Stade Louis II, Monaco

Both Monaco and Benfica finished the group stage with identical records of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, accumulating 13 points each. However, Benfica edged ahead in the standings due to a slightly better goal difference. This playoff match is part of the new format introduced in the 2024-25 season, where teams finishing between 9th and 24th in the group stage compete for the remaining spots in the knockout phase.

Team Form and Recent Performance

AS Monaco

Monaco enters this match with mixed form. While they have shown flashes of brilliance, their recent performances have been inconsistent. In their last five matches across all competitions, Monaco has recorded 3 wins and 2 losses. Their most recent outing was a disappointing 4-1 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1, which highlighted defensive vulnerabilities.

However, Monaco’s home form has been impressive. They have won their last three home matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 4. Key players like Maghnes Akliouche and Breel Embolo will be crucial in driving Monaco’s attack. Defensively, the absence of Christian Mawissa due to suspension and injuries to Wilfried Singo and Folarin Balogun could pose challenges.

SL Benfica

Benfica, on the other hand, has been in solid form, particularly in away matches. They have won 3 of their last 5 matches, including an impressive 2-0 victory over Juventus in the Champions League. Their attacking prowess, led by Vangelis Pavlidis, who has scored 7 goals in his last 5 appearances, makes them a formidable opponent.

Benfica’s away record in the Champions League is noteworthy, with 3 wins in their last 4 away matches. However, they will miss key players like Angel Di Maria and Alexander Bah due to injuries, which could impact their performance.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Monaco and Benfica adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup. In their last three encounters, Benfica has dominated with 2 wins and 1 draw. Their most recent meeting in the group stage ended in a thrilling 3-2 victory for Benfica at the Stade Louis II, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure.

Key Players to Watch

AS Monaco

1. Maghnes Akliouche: The young midfielder has been instrumental in controlling Monaco’s play and creating scoring opportunities.
2. Breel Embolo: Despite a recent dip in form, Embolo’s physical presence and goal-scoring ability make him a constant threat.
3. Radosław Majecki: The goalkeeper’s performance will be crucial in keeping Benfica’s attack at bay.

SL Benfica

1. Vangelis Pavlidis: The Greek forward is in red-hot form, with 7 goals in his last 5 matches.
2. Nicolás Otamendi: The experienced defender will be key in organizing Benfica’s backline.
3. Orkun Kökçü: The midfielder’s creativity and vision will be vital in breaking down Monaco’s defense.

Betting Tips and Odds

Match Result

• Monaco Win: Odds of 2.38 (Paripesa)
• Draw: Odds of 3.25 (Futbol24)
• Benfica Win: Odds of 3.05 (Sportytrader)

Given Monaco’s strong home form and Benfica’s impressive away record, this match is expected to be closely contested. However, Benfica’s slight edge in head-to-head encounters and recent form makes them a slight favorite.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

• Yes: Odds of 1.60 (Paripesa)
  Both teams have shown a tendency to score in their recent matches. Monaco has scored in 9 of their last 10 home games, while Benfica has found the net in 7 of their last 10 away matches. This makes the BTTS market an attractive option.

Total Goals

• Over 2.5 Goals: Odds of 1.65 (Singapore Pools)
  The attacking prowess of both teams suggests a high-scoring affair. Monaco’s last two home matches saw over 3.5 goals, while Benfica’s last two away matches also featured high-scoring outcomes.

Expert Predictions

1. Both Teams to Score: With both teams boasting strong attacking units and defensive vulnerabilities, this market offers excellent value.
2. Benfica to Win: Despite being the away team, Benfica’s recent form and historical advantage make them a solid pick.
3. Over 2.5 Goals: The offensive capabilities of both sides and their recent goal-scoring records support this prediction.

Conclusion

The Monaco vs. Benfica clash promises to be an exhilarating encounter, with both teams eager to secure a crucial advantage in the first leg of the Champions League playoffs. While Monaco will rely on their home form, Benfica’s recent performances and head-to-head dominance give them a slight edge.

For bettors, the Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals markets offer the best value, while a Benfica win could be a rewarding long-shot bet. As always, remember to gamble responsibly and enjoy the match!