Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction and Betting Tips

The NBA season is heating up, and one of the most anticipated matchups on February 12, 2025, is the clash between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Minnesota Timberwolves. Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning, with the Bucks sitting fifth in the Eastern Conference (28-24) and the Timberwolves seventh in the Western Conference (30-24). This game promises to be a thrilling encounter, featuring two of the league’s top scorers: Damian Lillard of the Bucks and Anthony Edwards of the Timberwolves. Let’s dive into the prediction, betting tips, and odds for this exciting matchup.

Game Overview

The game will tip off at 8:00 PM ET at the Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Fans can catch the action on FDSN, FDSWI, and WMLW or stream it live on Fubo. Both teams are coming off losses, with the Bucks falling 125-111 to the Golden State Warriors and the Timberwolves losing 128-107 to the Cleveland Cavaliers. This game marks their first meeting of the season, with the last encounter on February 24, 2024, ending in a 112-107 victory for the Bucks.

Key Players and Injuries

Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks are dealing with significant injuries, most notably the absence of Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is out with a calf strain. Giannis, averaging 31.8 points, 12.2 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game, is a massive loss for the team. Damian Lillard, who scored 38 points in their last game, is probable despite a hamstring issue. However, without Giannis, the Bucks’ offense and defense will be severely tested.

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Timberwolves are also battling injuries, with Julius Randle (groin) and Donte DiVincenzo (toe) ruled out. Anthony Edwards, who dropped 44 points in their last game, is questionable with a hip issue. If Edwards plays, he could be the difference-maker, but his absence would leave a significant scoring void.

Betting Odds and Trends

Moneyline

• Timberwolves: -235 (Bet 235towin235towin100)
• Bucks: +195 (Bet 100 to win 195)

The Timberwolves are heavy favorites, with a 69% implied probability of winning. However, the Bucks have won 23.1% of their games as underdogs this season, making them a risky but potentially rewarding bet.

Against the Spread (ATS)

• Timberwolves: -6.5 (-110)
• Bucks: +6.5 (-118)

The Bucks have covered the spread in three of their last four games against the Timberwolves, making them a solid ATS pick. However, the Timberwolves’ strong home record (15-12) and defensive prowess could make it challenging for the Bucks to cover.

Over/Under

• Total Points: 224.5
• Over: -110
• Under: -110

The Over has hit in four of Minnesota’s last five games and seven of their last ten. For the Bucks, the Over has cashed in two straight games. Given both teams’ recent trends, betting the Over seems like a safe choice.

Prediction

Score Prediction

Timberwolves 116 – Bucks 115
This game is expected to be a close contest, with the Timberwolves edging out the Bucks by a single point. Minnesota’s home-court advantage and strong defense give them a slight edge, but the Bucks’ resilience and Damian Lillard’s scoring ability keep them in the game.

Best Bets

1. ATS: Lean Bucks +6.5 (-118)
   • The Bucks have a strong history of covering the spread against the Timberwolves, especially with Minnesota’s injury concerns.
2. Over/Under: Bet Over 224.5 (-110)
   • Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and the Over has been a consistent trend.
3. Player Props:
   • Damian Lillard Over 25.5 Points: Lillard has averaged 29.6 points in his last five games, making the Over a solid bet.
   • Anthony Edwards Over 28.1 Points: If Edwards plays, his recent form (38.2 points in the last five games) makes the Over a strong choice.

Key Factors to Watch

1. Injury Impact: The absence of Giannis Antetokounmpo and the potential absence of Anthony Edwards could significantly influence the game’s outcome.
2. Defensive Matchup: The Timberwolves rank fifth in defense (108.3 points allowed per game), while the Bucks are 14th (113.1 points allowed). Minnesota’s defense could stifle Milwaukee’s offense.
3. Rebounding Battle: The Bucks average 44.0 rebounds per game, slightly better than the Timberwolves’ 43.9. Controlling the boards will be crucial.

Conclusion

The Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves matchup is shaping up to be a thrilling game with significant playoff implications. While the Timberwolves are favored, the Bucks’ resilience and Damian Lillard’s scoring prowess make them a dangerous opponent. For bettors, the Bucks +6.5 and the Over 224.5 are the best bets. Tune in on February 12 to see how this exciting game unfolds!

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Please gamble responsibly.