Manchester United Women vs. Everton Women: Prediction, Betting Tips

The Women’s Super League (WSL) clash between Manchester United Women and Everton Women on March 30, 2025, promises to be an intriguing encounter. As two teams with contrasting fortunes this season prepare to face off at Leigh Sports Village Stadium,

Match Preview and Current Form

Manchester United Women enter this fixture in formidable form, sitting comfortably in 3rd place in the WSL table with 39 points from 17 matches (12 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) . Their recent 4-0 demolition of Aston Villa Women extended their impressive run, having won four of their last five league matches. The Red Devils boast the league’s tightest defense, conceding just 9 goals all season – a remarkable achievement that underpins their title-chasing credentials .

Everton Women arrive with mixed results, positioned 7th in the table with 19 points (5 wins, 4 draws, 8 losses). Their recent 3-0 victory over Crystal Palace Women ended a run of inconsistent performances, but their away form remains concerning with just one win in eight road trips this campaign. The Toffees have struggled defensively on their travels, conceding 12 goals in eight away matches compared to Manchester United’s mere 2 goals conceded at home.

Head-to-Head Statistics and Historical Trends

The historical record between these sides heavily favors Manchester United, who have dominated this fixture in recent years. Key head-to-head insights include:

• Manchester United have won 15 of the last 18 matches between these teams
• Everton’s solitary victory in this period came back in March 2021
• The aggregate score across these matches stands at a staggering 48-9 in United’s favor
• In their last five encounters, United have kept four clean sheets while scoring 16 goals
• The reverse fixture earlier this season saw Manchester United triumph 4-1

Recent matches have been particularly one-sided, with United winning the last five consecutive matches by an aggregate score of 18-1 . This includes a 7-0 thrashing in the WSL Cup last November and a 5-0 league victory in October 2023.

Team News and Key Absences

Manchester United Women Injuries/Suspensions:

• Hannah Blundell: Out for season (pregnancy)
• Geyse: On year-long loan to Gotham FC
• Simi Awujo: Doubtful (ankle injury)

Everton Women Injuries/Suspensions:

• Inma Gabarro: Out (ACL)
• Aurora Galli: Out (ACL)
• Megan Finnigan: Out (ACL)
• Louna Ribadeira: Out (foot surgery)

The absence of four key Everton players through long-term injuries significantly weakens their squad depth and quality, particularly in defensive areas. Manchester United, meanwhile, will miss the attacking threat of Geyse but otherwise have a relatively settled squad available .

Statistical Breakdown and Performance Metrics

Manchester United Women Key Stats:

• Best defensive record in WSL (9 goals conceded in 17 games)
• 71% win rate this season (12 wins from 17)
• 75% home win rate (6 wins from 8 home matches)
• 40% shot conversion rate (best in WSL)
• Both teams to score in just 29% of matches (league best)
• Average 2.0 goals scored per game

Everton Women Key Stats:

• 29% win rate this season (5 wins from 17)
• 12% away win rate (1 win from 8 away matches)
• Both teams to score in 47% of matches
• Average 1.1 goals scored per game
• Conceded 25 goals in 17 matches
• Lost 62% of away matches (5 losses from 8)

Prediction and Betting Tips

Match Outcome:

All statistical models and analysts overwhelmingly favor a Manchester United victory:

• WinDrawWin predicts a 2-0 home win with 68% probability
• WhoScored forecasts a 2-1 United win
• Sports Mole predicts a 3-1 victory for the hosts
• The Opta supercomputer gives United an 89.07% chance of winning

Recommended Bet: Manchester United Women to win (1.24 average odds)

Goals Markets:

• Under 2.5 goals has occurred in 53% of United’s matches
• Over 2.5 goals has hit in 47% of games for both teams
• 76% of United’s matches see over 1.5 goals
• United have scored in both halves in 45% of games

Recommended Bets:

• Under 3.5 goals (1.77 average odds)
• Manchester United to score in both halves

Correct Score:

The most probable scorelines according to Sports Mole’s data analysis are:

• 3-0 (11.98% probability)
• 2-0 (10.42% probability)
• 4-0 (10.33% probability)
• 3-1 (7.13% probability)

Recommended Bet: Manchester United to win 3-0

Alternative Bets:

• Manchester United to win to nil (given their defensive record)
• Elisabeth Terland to score anytime (team’s top scorer with 9 goals)
• Both teams NOT to score (successful in 71% of United’s matches)

Tactical Analysis and Key Battles

Manchester United’s strength lies in their organized defense and clinical attack. They’ve conceded just 2 goals in 8 home matches while scoring 19 3. Manager Marc Skinner has implemented a system that maximizes defensive solidity while maintaining attacking threat through wide players like Leah Galton (5 goals) and Ella Toone (4 goals) .

Everton’s approach will likely focus on damage limitation. Manager Brian Sorensen needs one more win to become Everton’s most successful WSL manager with 20 victories 4, but his team’s away form suggests this will be challenging. Their main hope lies with striker Katja Snoeijs (2 goals) and midfielder Honoka Hayashi (4 goals) .

The key tactical battle will be Everton’s attempt to contain United’s attacking rotations while looking for opportunities on the counter. However, given United’s defensive record and Everton’s struggles away from home, this appears a daunting task for the visitors.

Betting Odds Comparison

Current average odds from major bookmakers 510:

• Manchester United win: 1.24
• Draw: 5.3
• Everton win: 11.5
• Over 2.5 goals: 1.77
• Under 2.5 goals: 2.05
• Both teams to score: Yes 2.1, No 1.72
• Correct score 3-0: 8.5

Conclusion and Final Thoughts

All indicators point towards a comfortable Manchester United victory in this WSL encounter. Their superior form, defensive solidity, attacking quality, and dominance in this fixture make them overwhelming favorites. Everton’s poor away record and injury problems further compound their difficulties.

For bettors, the safest options appear to be a Manchester United win combined with under 3.5 goals, reflecting their defensive strength and Everton’s likely conservative approach. Those seeking higher odds might consider correct score bets like 3-0 or player props involving United’s top scorers.

As the match approaches, keep an eye on team news for any late changes, but barring unexpected developments, Manchester United should continue their push for Champions League qualification with another three points at Leigh Sports Village.