Levski Sofia vs. Spartak Varna Prediction and Betting Tips

Posted on February 19, 2025 by author in Football

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The upcoming clash between Levski Sofia and Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria First League on February 21, 2025, promises to be an exciting encounter. Both teams are set to battle it out at the Vivacom Arena – Georgi Asparuhov in Sofia, with kick-off scheduled for 15:45 UK Time. This match is crucial for both sides as they aim to secure vital points to boost their standings in the league. In this article, we’ll dive deep into the prediction, betting tips, and odds for this highly anticipated fixture.

Match Overview

Team Form and Recent Performance

Levski Sofia has been in stellar form recently, winning 9 out of their last 10 matches and losing only once. They have scored 20 goals in this period, averaging 2 goals per game, while conceding just 8 goals, showcasing a strong defensive record57. On the other hand, Spartak Varna has had a mixed run, with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 games. They’ve scored 17 goals but conceded 16, indicating a less stable defense.

Head-to-Head (H2H) Record

The H2H record between these two teams reveals a competitive history. In their last five encounters, Levski Sofia has dominated with 3 wins, while Spartak Varna has managed 1 win, and 1 match ended in a draw. Notably, Levski Sofia secured a convincing 5-0 victory in their most recent home game against Spartak Varna.

Key Statistics

Levski Sofia

Home Record: Won 7 out of 10 home games, with an average of 2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match.
BTTS (Both Teams to Score): 40% of their last 10 games saw both teams scoring.
Over 2.5 Goals: 60% of their matches had over 2.5 goals.

Spartak Varna

Away Record: Won 4 out of 10 away games, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match.
BTTS: 80% of their last 10 games saw both teams scoring.
Over 2.5 Goals: 70% of their matches had over 2.5 goals.

Prediction

Winner

Levski Sofia is the clear favorite to win this match, with a 72% probability of victory according to BetClan’s algorithm. Their strong home form and superior defensive record give them a significant edge.

Total Goals

The match is likely to see Under 2.5 goals, with a 54% probability. Levski Sofia’s tight defense and Spartak Varna’s struggles in away games suggest a low-scoring affair.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

There’s a 63% probability that both teams will not score. Levski Sofia’s defensive strength makes it challenging for Spartak Varna to find the net.

Correct Score

A 1-0 victory for Levski Sofia is a plausible outcome, with a 20% probability. This aligns with their recent defensive performances and Spartak Varna’s difficulty in scoring away from home.

Betting Tips and Odds

Best Bet

Home Win for Levski Sofia: With odds of 1.42, this is a safe and lucrative option given their form and home advantage.

Alternative Bets

Under 2.5 Goals: Odds of 1.80 make this a worthwhile bet, considering the defensive nature of both teams.
Correct Score 1-0: For risk-takers, this bet offers high returns with odds of 6.50.

Riskier Options

Both Teams to Score – No: Odds of 1.90 provide good value, especially given Levski Sofia’s defensive record.

Why Levski Sofia is the Favorite

Home Advantage: Playing at Vivacom Arena gives Levski Sofia a significant boost, as they’ve been dominant at home this season.

Defensive Strength: Conceding only 0.8 goals per game in their last 10 matches highlights their defensive solidity.

Recent Form: With 9 wins in their last 10 games, Levski Sofia is in peak form and will be confident heading into this match.

Spartak Varna’s Challenges

Away Struggles: Spartak Varna has won only 4 out of 10 away games, making it difficult for them to compete against a strong home side.

Defensive Vulnerabilities: Conceding 1.6 goals per game in their last 10 matches shows their defensive frailties.

H2H Record: Their poor record against Levski Sofia, including a 5-0 loss in their last encounter, adds to their challenges.

Conclusion

The Levski Sofia vs. Spartak Varna match is set to be a thrilling encounter, with Levski Sofia holding the upper hand due to their superior form, home advantage, and defensive strength. Betting on a home win or under 2.5 goals seems to be the safest option, while risk-takers can explore the correct score market.

For football fans and bettors alike, this match offers an exciting opportunity to witness a high-stakes battle in the Bulgaria First League. Make sure to check the latest odds and team news before placing your bets!

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.