Las Palmas vs. Alaves: Prediction, Betting Tips

The upcoming La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Deportivo Alaves on March 14, 2025, is set to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams are battling to escape the relegation zone, making this match crucial for their survival in Spain’s top flight. In this article, we’ll delve into the prediction, betting tips, analysis, and key statistics for this highly anticipated game.

Match Preview

Las Palmas and Alaves are currently positioned 19th and 18th in the La Liga table, respectively. With only two points separating them, this match is a classic relegation six-pointer. Las Palmas have struggled throughout the 2024-25 season, managing only six wins, six draws, and suffering 15 defeats in their 27 league games. Alaves, on the other hand, have a slightly better record with six wins, eight draws, and 13 losses.

Las Palmas have been particularly poor at home, collecting just 13 points from 13 home games. Their recent form has been dismal, with eight losses in their last 10 matches across all competitions. Alaves, meanwhile, have shown some resilience on the road, avoiding defeat in six of their 14 away games this season.

Team News and Lineups

Las Palmas:

• Suspensions: Dário Essugo and Viti are suspended for this match due to red card and yellow card accumulations, respectively.
• Injuries: Mika Mármol is back from a brief injury spell, and Scott McKenna is available after serving a suspension.

Alaves:

• Suspensions: Antonio Sivera, Antonio Blanco, and Moussa Diarra are suspended for this match.
• Injuries: No major injury concerns reported.

Predicted Lineups:

• Las Palmas: Cillessen; Suárez, McKenna, Mármol, Cardona; Kirian, Loiodice, Muñoz; Sandro, Silva, Pejiño.
• Alaves: Sivera; Navarro, Abqar, Duarte, Sánchez; Blanco, Rioja, García; Joselu, Pons, Sylla.

Head-to-Head and Key Statistics

The head-to-head record between these two teams favors Alaves, who have won three of their last five matches in La Liga. Las Palmas have managed only one victory in their last nine encounters with Alaves. The last time these teams met, Alaves secured a 2-0 victory.

Key Statistics:

• Goals Scored: Both teams have scored 30 goals in their 27 league games this season.
• Defensive Record: Alaves have a better defensive record, conceding 40 goals compared to Las Palmas’ 45.
• Recent Form: Las Palmas have lost three of their last four home games, while Alaves have lost just one of their last six away games.

Betting Tips

1. Result – Draw: Given the tight standings and the importance of this match, a draw seems a likely outcome. Both teams will be cautious, aiming to avoid defeat rather than going all out for a win.
2. Goals – Under 2.5: Eight of the last nine matches between these teams have produced under 2.5 goals. With both teams struggling in attack, this trend is likely to continue.
3. Both Teams to Score – Yes: Despite their defensive struggles, both teams have shown they can find the net. Betting on both teams to score could be a smart move.

Analysis

Las Palmas: Las Palmas have had a tough season, with their form deteriorating significantly in 2025. They have struggled to find consistency, particularly in defense, where they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches. Their attack has also been lackluster, averaging just 0.6 goals per game in the same period.

Alaves: Alaves, on the other hand, have shown signs of improvement recently. Their 1-0 victory over Villarreal was a significant boost, ending a six-match winless streak. They have been more solid defensively, conceding fewer goals than Las Palmas, and have managed to secure points in tough away fixtures.

Betting Odds

The betting odds for this match reflect the close nature of the contest. According to Odds Shark, the odds for a Las Palmas win are +192, a draw is +210, and an Alaves win is +160. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1/2, indicating a high probability of a low-scoring game.

Conclusion

This match between Las Palmas and Alaves is poised to be a tightly contested affair, with both teams desperate for points to avoid relegation. While Alaves have the edge in recent form and head-to-head record, Las Palmas will be hoping to leverage their home advantage. A draw seems the most likely outcome, with a low-scoring game expected.

Whether you’re a fan of either team or a neutral observer, this match promises to be an intriguing battle with significant implications for the relegation battle in La Liga. Be sure to tune in and see how it unfolds!