Fares Ziam vs Mike Davis Prediction and Betting Tips Odds

The upcoming UFC bout between Fares Ziam and Mike Davis is generating significant buzz among MMA enthusiasts and bettors alike. Scheduled for February 1, 2025, at the ANB Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, this lightweight clash promises to be a thrilling encounter. Both fighters bring unique skills and impressive records to the Octagon, making this a highly anticipated match. In this article, we’ll delve into the fighters’ backgrounds, analyze their strengths and weaknesses, and provide expert predictions and betting tips.

Fighter Profiles

Fares “Smile Killer” Ziam

• Record: 16-4-0
• Height: 6’1″
• Weight: 155 lbs
• Reach: 75″
• Stance: Orthodox
• Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 2.92
• Striking Accuracy: 50%
• Takedown Average: 1.28 per 3 rounds
• Takedown Accuracy: 36%
• Takedown Defense: 67%

Fares Ziam, known as the “Smile Killer,” is a rising star in the lightweight division. At 27 years old, Ziam has already made a name for himself with his striking prowess and solid defensive skills. His last fight saw him secure a victory against Matt Frevola with a knee to the head in the third round, showcasing his striking accuracy and ability to capitalize on openings.

Mike “Beast Boy” Davis

• Record: 11-2-0
• Height: 6’0″
• Weight: 155 lbs
• Reach: 72″
• Stance: Orthodox
• Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 5.35
• Striking Accuracy: 52%
• Takedown Average: 2.53 per 3 rounds
• Takedown Accuracy: 53%
• Takedown Defense: 64%

Mike Davis, also known as “Beast Boy,” is a formidable opponent with a well-rounded skill set. At 32 years old, Davis has demonstrated his ability to dominate both on the feet and on the ground. His recent victory over Natan Levy via arm triangle in the second round highlighted his grappling skills and submission prowess.

Fight Analysis

Striking

When it comes to striking, both fighters have their strengths. Ziam lands 2.92 significant strikes per minute with a 50% accuracy rate, while Davis lands an impressive 5.35 significant strikes per minute with a 52% accuracy rate. Davis’s higher output and accuracy give him an edge in striking exchanges. However, Ziam’s defensive skills, allowing only 1.66 significant strikes per minute compared to Davis’s 5.76, could play a crucial role in mitigating Davis’s striking advantage.

Grappling

In the grappling department, Davis has a clear advantage. He averages 2.53 takedowns per 3 rounds with a 53% accuracy rate, compared to Ziam’s 1.28 takedowns per 3 rounds with a 36% accuracy rate. Davis’s ability to secure takedowns and his submission skills make him a threat on the ground. Ziam’s takedown defense at 67% will be tested against Davis’s relentless grappling approach.

Cardio and Endurance

Both fighters have shown good cardio in their previous fights. Ziam’s average fight time is 13:09, while Davis’s is 12:37. This indicates that both fighters are capable of maintaining a high pace throughout the fight. However, Davis’s higher striking output and grappling attempts could potentially wear down Ziam as the fight progresses.

Betting Tips and Odds

As of now, the opening moneyline has Ziam priced at +120 and Davis at -142. This indicates that Davis is the slight favorite, but the odds are close enough to suggest a competitive fight.

Betting Tips

1. Moneyline Bet: Given Davis’s striking output and grappling advantage, betting on Davis to win could be a smart choice. However, Ziam’s defensive skills and striking accuracy make him a live underdog, so a small bet on Ziam could also be worthwhile.
2. Over/Under Rounds: The total rounds odds are often set at 2.5 rounds. Considering both fighters’ durability and cardio, betting on the fight to go over 2.5 rounds could be a good option. This means the fight would need to go past the midway point of the third round.
3. Method of Victory: If you’re looking for higher odds, consider betting on the method of victory. Davis has shown a propensity for submissions, so betting on Davis to win by submission could offer good value. Alternatively, Ziam’s striking accuracy could lead to a knockout victory, making a bet on Ziam to win by KO/TKO an intriguing option.

Expert Prediction

This fight is expected to be a closely contested battle. Davis’s higher striking output and grappling skills give him a slight edge, but Ziam’s defensive abilities and striking accuracy cannot be overlooked. If Davis can implement his game plan and secure takedowns, he has a good chance of winning. However, if Ziam can keep the fight standing and utilize his striking, he could pull off the upset.

Prediction: Mike Davis wins by unanimous decision.

Conclusion

The Fares Ziam vs Mike Davis fight is shaping up to be an exciting matchup with plenty of betting opportunities. Both fighters bring unique skills to the Octagon, making this a must-watch event for MMA fans and bettors. By analyzing their strengths and weaknesses, you can make informed bets and enjoy the action as it unfolds.

Remember to bet responsibly and enjoy the fight!