Exeter City vs. Burton Albion: Prediction, Betting Tips

Posted on April 14, 2025 by author in Football

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As the League One season approaches its climax, Exeter City will host Burton Albion at St. James Park on Friday, April 18, 2025. This encounter marks Matchday 43 of the competition, where both teams are vying for crucial points that could define their season’s outcomes. In this comprehensive article, we will delve into the prediction, betting tips, analysis, and betting odds for this exciting matchup.

Team Overview

Exeter City currently occupies the 15th position in the league with 49 points, achieved through 13 victories, 10 draws, and 18 losses, resulting in a goal difference of -14 (43 scored and 57 conceded). Their home record showcases a mixed performance, with 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats.

Burton Albion, on the other hand, sits in the relegation zone at 21st place with 39 points. The Brewers have recorded 9 wins, 12 draws, and 19 losses, accumulating a goal difference of -18 (41 scored and 59 conceded). Their away performance is less than stellar, with 5 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats on the road.

Recent Form and Head-to-Head

In their last encounter, Exeter City emerged victorious with a 2:1 win against Bristol Rovers, highlighting a moment of resurgence. Meanwhile, Burton Albion recently secured a comprehensive 3:0 victory against Huddersfield Town, showcasing their potential to challenge for points.

The historical context between these two teams also favors Exeter, who have won 3 of the last 5 matches, while Burton has claimed victory in 2.

Betting Tips and Predictions

Our betting prediction for this encounter leans towards a home win for Exeter City. The odds for this outcome stand at 2.15 on Betwinner, reflecting a reasonable expectation that Exeter’s home advantage and recent form can carry them through this crucial matchup. Additionally, we also recommend considering the proposition of both teams scoring, with odds of 1.91 available at Gbets. Given the attacking capabilities of both sides, this bet presents a compelling opportunity for punters looking to capitalize on the match dynamics.

Total Goals Under 3.5: There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of Exeter City’s last 6 matches. There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Burton Albion’s last 4 matches.

Total Goals Over 1.5: There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Exeter City’s last 6 matches. There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Burton Albion’s last 4 matches.

Total Goals Over 2.5: There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Exeter City’s last 6 matches. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Burton Albion’s last 4 matches.

Statistical Analysis

Head-to-Head Statistics:

Exeter City (60%) vs. Burton Albion (40%) in their last 5 matches.
Exeter City scored 4 goals and Burton Albion scored 4 goals in these matches.
40% of these matches had over 1.5 goals.
20% of these matches had over 2.5 goals.
20% of these matches had both teams scoring.
40% of these matches had clean sheets for both teams.

Current Form:

Exeter City: 1.39 points per game at home.
Burton Albion: 1.16 points per game away.

Goals Scored and Conceded:

Exeter City: 1.44 goals per match at home.
Burton Albion: 0.89 goals per match away.
Exeter City: 1.5 goals conceded per match at home.
Burton Albion: 1.26 goals conceded per match away.

Key Players to Watch

Exeter City:

Josh Magennis: The captain has been pivotal in Exeter’s recent performances, scoring crucial goals and leading by example.
Millenic Alli: Known for his stunning efforts, Alli’s ability to score from unexpected positions makes him a key player.

Burton Albion:

Billy Bodin: Bodin’s early goals have often set the tone for Burton’s matches, making him a player to watch.
Ryan Sweeney: Sweeney’s defensive prowess and ability to contribute to set-pieces make him a crucial part of Burton’s lineup.

Betting Odds

The betting odds for this match are as follows:

Exeter City Moneyline: +127.
Burton Albion Moneyline: +196.
Match Draw Moneyline: +248.
Exeter City Spread: -0.5 (+127).
Burton Albion Spread: +0.5 (-162).
Match Total Goals: 2.5 (Over +108 / Under -139).

Conclusion

The match between Exeter City and Burton Albion promises to be a thrilling encounter with significant implications for both teams. Exeter City’s home advantage and recent form make them the favorites, but Burton Albion’s potential to challenge cannot be underestimated. With a variety of betting options available, punters have the opportunity to make informed decisions based on the analysis and tips provided.

Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or a casual fan, this match offers plenty of excitement and potential for profitable betting. Remember to gamble responsibly and enjoy the game!