Everton vs. West Ham Prediction, Betting Tips

Everton vs. West Ham Prediction, Betting Tips

Posted on March 13, 2025 by in Football
Everton vs. West Ham Prediction, Betting Tips
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The Premier League showdown between Everton and West Ham United on March 15, 2025, promises to be a thrilling clash at Goodison Park. As two mid-table teams battle it out for crucial points, football fans and bettors alike are eager to dive into the latest predictions, betting tips, analysis, and stats. With the current date being March 12, 2025, we’re just days away from this exciting matchup, and there’s plenty to unpack. Whether you’re a die-hard supporter or a punter looking for an edge, this comprehensive guide will break down everything you need to know about Everton vs. West Ham, including key stats, expert betting tips, and the best odds available.

Match Overview

Everton and West Ham are set to face off in a Premier League fixture that could have significant implications for their seasons. As of now, Everton sit in 15th place with 32 points after 28 games, while West Ham are just one spot below in 16th with 33 points, having played one fewer match. Both teams are comfortably clear of the relegation zone—16 points ahead of the drop—but they’re also desperate to climb the table and secure a more respectable finish.

This game marks a notable subplot: Everton’s manager David Moyes will take on his former club, West Ham, where he enjoyed considerable success, including winning the Europa Conference League in 2023. Moyes’ return to Everton has revitalized the Toffees, and they’re currently on an impressive eight-game unbeaten run in the league. Meanwhile, West Ham, under Graham Potter, have struggled for consistency but have shown flashes of brilliance, such as their recent 1-0 victory over Arsenal.

With both sides boasting attacking talent and defensive vulnerabilities, this match could be a goal-fest—or a tightly contested affair. Let’s dive into the stats, predictions, and betting tips to help you make sense of it all.

Head-to-Head Stats

Understanding the historical context of this fixture is key to making informed predictions. Everton have traditionally had the upper hand over West Ham in the Premier League, winning 75 of their 151 encounters, compared to West Ham’s 45 victories. However, recent matches have been more balanced, with each team claiming two wins and one draw in their last five clashes.

Last Five Matches:

  • November 9, 2024: West Ham 0-0 Everton (Premier League)
  • March 2, 2024: Everton 1-3 West Ham (Premier League)
  • October 29, 2023: West Ham 0-1 Everton (Premier League)
  • January 21, 2023: West Ham 2-0 Everton (Premier League)
  • September 18, 2022: Everton 1-0 West Ham (Premier League)

Key Trends:

  • Four of the last five matches have produced under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tendency toward low-scoring games.
  • Everton have won 13 away matches against West Ham in the Premier League—more than against any other opponent.
  • West Ham have won five of their last eight league games against Everton, a stark improvement from their previous record of five wins in 30.

The most recent encounter in November 2024 ended in a goalless draw at the London Stadium, a result that highlights both teams’ struggles to convert chances. Will this weekend’s clash follow a similar pattern, or will the attacking flair of players like Everton’s Beto and West Ham’s Jarrod Bowen break the deadlock?

Current Form and Team News

Everton’s Form

Everton are in fine fettle under David Moyes, who has turned their season around since returning for his second stint. The Toffees are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League matches (W4, D4), a run that includes a 1-1 draw against Wolves last weekend. At home, Everton have been particularly potent, scoring 11 goals in their last four league games at Goodison Park—an average of 2.75 goals per match.

However, injuries remain a concern. Key players like Orel Mangala, Dwight McNeil, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Iliman Ndiaye, and Armando Broja are sidelined, leaving Moyes with a depleted squad. Despite this, striker Beto has stepped up, scoring five goals in his last six appearances, making him a focal point of Everton’s attack.

Predicted Lineup: Pickford (GK), Tarkowski, Mykolenko, Branthwaite, O’Brien, Gueye, Doucoure, Garner, Lindstrom, Harrison, Beto

West Ham’s Form

West Ham’s season has been a rollercoaster under Graham Potter. The Hammers have won two of their last five league games (Arsenal 0-1, Leicester 2-0) but have also suffered three defeats, including a 1-0 loss to Newcastle last time out. On the road, they’ve been inconsistent, averaging just 1.23 points per game, though they’ve scored in each of their last nine away matches across all competitions.

Injuries are also a headache for Potter, with Michail Antonio, Niclas Fullkrug, Crysencio Summerville, and Vladimir Coufal all doubtful or ruled out. Jarrod Bowen, with 14 Premier League goals this season, remains their biggest threat, supported by the likes of Mohammed Kudus and Lucas Paqueta.

Predicted Lineup: Areola (GK), Todibo, Kilman, Cresswell, Wan-Bissaka, Ward-Prowse, Alvarez, Scarles, Kudus, Soucek, Bowen

Prediction

Given the current form and historical data, this match is tough to call—but that’s what makes it so exciting for bettors. Everton’s unbeaten streak and home advantage give them a slight edge, but West Ham’s attacking quality and resilience on the road can’t be ignored.

  • Score Prediction: Everton 2-1 West Ham
  • Reasoning: Everton have been prolific at home, averaging over two goals per game in their recent Goodison Park outings. West Ham’s defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.54 goals per game away, while their attack has consistently found the net on the road. A narrow Everton victory with both teams scoring feels like a plausible outcome.

Betting Tips Analysis

Let’s break down the best betting options based on stats, trends, and current form. These tips are designed to maximize value while aligning with the data.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes

  • Odds: 1.69 (1Win)
  • Why: Both teams have shown attacking intent recently. Everton have scored in five of their last six games, while West Ham have netted in nine straight away matches. Defensively, both sides are vulnerable—Everton have conceded in six of their last six, and West Ham rank fourth-worst in the league for shots conceded per 90 minutes (16.10). BTTS has landed in Everton’s last five games, making this a strong pick.

Everton to Win

  • Odds: 2.15 (Bet365)
  • Why: Everton’s eight-game unbeaten run and home form (four wins, six draws in 14 games at Goodison Park) make them favorites. West Ham have won just four of 14 away games this season, and their inconsistency under Potter suggests they’ll struggle against a revitalized Everton side. The bookmakers give Everton a 45.5% chance of victory, which aligns with their current momentum.

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Odds: 1.73 (Bettingexpert)
  • Why: Despite the BTTS recommendation, recent head-to-heads suggest a low-scoring affair—four of the last five matches have gone under 2.5 goals. Both teams have struggled for efficiency at times, and Moyes’ pragmatic approach could lead to a cautious game. This is a solid option for those expecting a tight contest.

Beto to Score Anytime

  • Odds: 3.40 (Unibet)
  • Why: Beto has been Everton’s standout performer, scoring six goals in 20 appearances this season, with five in his last six games. Facing a West Ham defense that’s conceded 47 goals in 28 matches, he’s a prime candidate to find the net. His odds offer excellent value for a player in red-hot form.

Jarrod Bowen 1+ Shot on Target

  • Odds: 1.82 (Betfair)
  • Why: Bowen averages 0.82 shots on target per 90 minutes and has been West Ham’s talisman with 14 goals. Even in a potential defeat, his knack for testing the goalkeeper makes this a reliable bet, especially given Everton’s recent defensive lapses.

Betting Odds Tips

Here’s a snapshot of the latest odds from top bookmakers as of March 12, 2025 (subject to change):

Full-Time Result:

  • Everton Win: 2.15 (Bet365)
  • Draw: 3.30 (Bet365)
  • West Ham Win: 3.50 (Bet365)

Total Goals (Over/Under 2.5):

  • Over 2.5: 1.91 (Bet365)
  • Under 2.5: 1.91 (Bet365)

Both Teams to Score:

  • Yes: 1.69 (1Win)
  • No: 2.10 (Bet365)

Goalscorers:

  • Beto Anytime: 3.40 (Unibet)
  • Jarrod Bowen Anytime: 3.00 (Bet365)

For the best value, compare odds across multiple platforms, as small differences can significantly impact your returns over time. Always gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.

Key Stats to Watch

  • Everton at Home: 4 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses; 1.43 goals scored per game.
  • West Ham Away: 4 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses; 1.54 goals conceded per game.
  • Goal Timing: All goals in Everton’s last two matches came after halftime, suggesting the second half could be decisive.
  • Discipline: Everton’s Idrissa Gueye averages 2.08 fouls per 90, while West Ham rank second in the league for fouls committed (13.30 per 90).

These stats highlight Everton’s home strength, West Ham’s defensive frailties, and the potential for a lively second half—perfect for live betting opportunities.

Why This Match Matters

For Everton, a win would extend their unbeaten run to nine games and solidify their mid-table position, boosting morale under Moyes. For West Ham, three points could lift them above Everton and ease pressure on Potter, whose tenure has been under scrutiny. Beyond the standings, this game is a personal milestone for Moyes, facing the club where he achieved historic success. The emotional stakes add an extra layer of intrigue.

Final Thoughts

The Everton vs. West Ham clash on March 15, 2025, is shaping up to be a fascinating battle. Everton’s home form and Moyes’ tactical nous give them a slight edge, but West Ham’s attacking threats like Bowen and Kudus could turn the tide. Our prediction of a 2-1 Everton win with both teams scoring reflects the balance of current trends and historical data.

For bettors, BTTS and Beto to score offer strong value, while under 2.5 goals is a safer pick for the cautious. Whatever your approach, this match promises entertainment and opportunity. Stay tuned for updates as kickoff approaches, and enjoy the game!

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