Derby County vs. Millwall Prediction and Betting Tips

The Championship clash between Derby County and Millwall on Saturday, 22nd February 2025, promises to be a thrilling encounter. With both teams fighting for different objectives—Derby for survival and Millwall for mid-table stability—this match at Pride Park Stadium is set to deliver high stakes and intense football action. In this article, we’ll dive into the latest predictions, betting tips, and odds to help you make informed decisions for this exciting fixture.

Match Overview

Date and Venue

• Date: Saturday, 22nd February 2025
• Time: 12:30 PM GMT
• Venue: Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Current Standings

• Derby County: 22nd place, 29 points (7 wins, 8 draws, 18 losses)
• Millwall: 14th place, 41 points (10 wins, 11 draws, 11 losses)

Derby County is battling relegation, while Millwall aims to consolidate their mid-table position. This contrast in objectives adds an extra layer of intrigue to the match.

Team Form and Analysis

Derby County

Derby County’s recent form has been dismal, with no wins in their last five matches across all competitions. Their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, having conceded 46 goals this season. However, their home record offers a glimmer of hope, with 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses at Pride Park. Key players like Jerry Yates (7 goals) and Ebou Adams (4 goals) will need to step up to secure a much-needed victory.

Millwall

Millwall, on the other hand, has shown resilience, remaining unbeaten in their last four matches. Their balanced approach—32 goals scored and 33 conceded—reflects their mid-table stability. Players like Mihailo Ivanović (5 goals) and Duncan Watmore (5 goals) will be crucial in breaking down Derby’s defense. However, their away form has been inconsistent, with only 3 wins in 15 away games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Derby County and Millwall is evenly matched. In their last five encounters, Millwall has won twice, Derby once, and two matches ended in draws. The most recent meeting in October 2024 resulted in a 1-1 draw, indicating another tight contest could be on the cards.

Betting Tips and Predictions

Match Outcome

• Derby County Win: Odds of 2.46 (Melbet)
  Despite their poor form, Derby’s home advantage makes them a potential dark horse. Their desperate need for points could drive a spirited performance.
• Draw: Odds of 3.04 (Melbet)
  Given the recent head-to-head results and both teams’ tendencies to grind out draws, this could be a likely outcome.
• Millwall Win: Odds of 3.16 (1win)
  Millwall’s recent form and Derby’s defensive issues make them slight favorites.

Total Goals

• Over 1.5 Goals: 67% probability
  Both teams have seen over 1.5 goals in their recent matches, making this a safe bet.
• Under 2.5 Goals: 71% probability
  Derby’s low-scoring games and Millwall’s pragmatic approach suggest a tight, low-scoring affair.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

• No: 65% probability
  Derby’s struggles in front of goal and Millwall’s solid defense make it unlikely that both teams will score.

Correct Score Prediction

• 1-1 Draw: 23% probability
  A closely contested match could end in a stalemate, reflecting the teams’ recent performances.
• 2-0 to Derby: 16% probability
  If Derby capitalizes on their home advantage, a narrow win is possible.

Key Players to Watch

Derby County

• Jerry Yates (FWD): 7 goals this season, Derby’s top scorer.
• Ebou Adams (MID): 4 goals, a key midfield presence.

Millwall

• Mihailo Ivanović (FWD): 5 goals, Millwall’s leading attacker.
• Jake Cooper (DEF): 3 goals, a defensive stalwart who also contributes offensively.

Tactical Insights

Derby County

Manager John Eustace is likely to adopt a defensive approach, focusing on counter-attacks and set-pieces. Derby’s survival hopes hinge on their ability to tighten their defense while capitalizing on limited opportunities.

Millwall

Under Alexander Neil, Millwall will aim to control possession and exploit Derby’s defensive frailties. Their organized structure and ability to grind out results could prove decisive.

Conclusion

The Derby County vs. Millwall match is poised to be a gripping encounter, with both teams having much to play for. While Millwall enters as slight favorites, Derby’s home advantage and desperation for points could lead to an upset. Betting on a low-scoring draw or a narrow Derby win offers good value.

Remember to bet responsibly and enjoy the match!