Buxton vs. South Shields Prediction and Betting Tips

Posted on February 10, 2025 by author in Football

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The upcoming clash between Buxton and South Shields in the England National League North on Tuesday, 11 February 2025, promises to be an exciting encounter. Both teams are vying for crucial points, and this match could significantly impact their standings. In this article, we’ll delve into the latest team statistics, head-to-head records, and expert predictions to provide you with comprehensive betting tips and odds analysis.

Match Overview

The game is scheduled to kick off at 19:45 GMT and will take place at Buxton’s home ground. Buxton currently sits in 8th place with 50 points from 30 matches, while South Shields is in 14th place with 40 points from 29 games811. Both teams have shown mixed form recently, making this match a challenging one to predict.

Team Form and Statistics

Buxton’s Recent Performance

Buxton has been in decent form, winning 16 of their 30 matches this season. They have scored 52 goals while conceding 43, showcasing a relatively balanced attack and defense. In their last five matches, Buxton has won three, lost one, and drawn one, including a dominant 5-1 victory against Rushall Olympic.

Key strengths:

Strong home record, scoring in all their last five home games.
Average of 1.7 goals per match in their last 30 games.

Weaknesses:

Conceded 8 goals in their last three home fixtures.
Inconsistent defense in high-scoring matches.

South Shields’ Recent Performance

South Shields has struggled slightly, with 12 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses this season. They have scored 45 goals and conceded 42, indicating a similar balance to Buxton. However, their away form has been poor, with no wins in their last three away matches and 7 goals conceded in those games.

Key strengths:

Strong historical record against Buxton, winning 4 of their last 7 encounters.
Top scorer P. Blackett has netted 14 goals this season.

Weaknesses:

Winless in their last three away matches.
Conceded in their last six away games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Buxton and South Shields favors the latter. In their last seven meetings, South Shields has won 4 times, Buxton has won once, and two matches ended in a draw10. The most recent encounter in September 2024 saw South Shields secure a narrow 1-0 victory.

Key trends:

Low-scoring games: Four of the last seven matches had under 2.5 goals.
South Shields has kept clean sheets in three of the last five meetings.

Betting Tips and Odds Analysis

Match Result Odds

Buxton to win: Odds of 1.86 (Smarkets)5 or 1.99 (Oddslot).
Draw: Odds of 3.2 (Smarkets)5 or 3.66 (Oddslot).
South Shields to win: Odds of 3.3 (Smarkets)5 or 3.18 (Oddslot).

Buxton is the slight favorite, but South Shields’ historical dominance in this fixture makes them a tempting underdog.

Double Chance and Handicap Bets

Double Chance (Buxton or Draw): Probability of 88%.
Handicap Buxton (-0.5): Odds of 1.33.

These bets are safer options, especially considering Buxton’s home advantage and South Shields’ poor away form.

Over/Under Goals

Under 2.5 Goals: Probability of 75%.
Under 3.5 Goals: Probability of 57%.

Given the low-scoring nature of their previous encounters, betting on fewer goals could be a wise choice.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes: Probability of 68%.
BTTS No: Probability of 32%.

While both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, their head-to-head record suggests a lower chance of both scoring.

Expert Predictions

Based on the analysis, our prediction for this match is a 1-1 draw. Buxton’s home advantage and South Shields’ resilience in this fixture make a stalemate the most likely outcome. For betting, we recommend:

Double Chance (Buxton or Draw).
Under 2.5 Goals.
BTTS No.

Key Players to Watch

Buxton: Look out for their top scorer and midfield playmakers, who have been instrumental in their recent victories.
South Shields: P. Blackett, with 14 goals this season, will be crucial in breaking down Buxton’s defense.

Final Thoughts

The Buxton vs. South Shields match is poised to be a tightly contested affair. While Buxton holds a slight edge due to their home form, South Shields’ historical dominance in this fixture cannot be ignored. For bettors, focusing on safer options like Double Chance and Under 2.5 Goals is advisable.

Remember, betting should always be done responsibly. Use these insights to make informed decisions, and may the odds be in your favor!