Bristol Rovers vs. Stockport County Prediction and Betting Tips

Posted on February 9, 2025 by author in Football

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The upcoming clash between Bristol Rovers and Stockport County in England League 1 on Tuesday, February 11, 2025, promises to be an exciting encounter. Both teams are set to battle it out at the Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 2:45 PM ET. This match is crucial for both sides as they aim to secure valuable points in their respective campaigns. In this article, we’ll dive deep into the prediction, betting tips, and odds for this fixture, providing you with all the insights you need to make informed decisions.

Match Overview

Team Form and Recent Performance

Bristol Rovers have had a mixed run of form recently. In their last 10 matches, they’ve secured 3 wins, 6 losses, and 1 draw, scoring 11 goals while conceding 19. Their home form has been slightly better, with 4 wins, 3 losses, and 3 draws in their last 10 home games. However, their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with an average of 1.9 goals conceded per match.

On the other hand, Stockport County has been in better form, winning 5 of their last 10 matches, with 3 losses and 2 draws. They’ve scored 12 goals and conceded only 8, showcasing a stronger defensive record with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match. Their away form, however, has been less impressive, with 3 wins, 5 losses, and 2 draws in their last 10 away games.

Head-to-Head (H2H) Record

The last meeting between these two teams took place on August 24, 2024, where Stockport County emerged victorious with a 2-0 win. Historically, Stockport has had the upper hand in recent encounters, which could play a psychological role in this match.

Key Statistics

Bristol Rovers:

Average goals scored per match: 1.1
Average goals conceded per match: 1.9
Over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches.

Stockport County:

Average goals scored per match: 1.2
Average goals conceded per match: 0.8
Over 2.5 goals in 30% of their last 10 matches.

Prediction and Betting Tips

Winner Prediction

Stockport County enters this match as the favorite, with a 55% probability of winning, according to BetClan’s algorithm. Bristol Rovers, on the other hand, have a 23% chance of securing a victory, while a draw stands at 22%.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

The likelihood of both teams scoring is 53%, making “Yes” a reasonable bet for BTTS. Both teams have shown the ability to find the back of the net, but Stockport’s stronger defense might limit Bristol Rovers’ scoring opportunities.

Total Goals (Over/Under 2.5)

The match is expected to be moderately high-scoring, with a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals. Bristol Rovers’ matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 games, while Stockport’s matches have been lower-scoring, with over 2.5 goals in only 30% of their recent fixtures.

Correct Score Prediction

A 1-2 victory for Stockport County is the most likely correct score, with a 15% probability. This aligns with Stockport’s recent form and their previous 2-0 win against Bristol Rovers.

Betting Odds

Moneyline:

Bristol Rovers: +345
Stockport County: -127
Draw: +260.

Spread:

Bristol Rovers: +0.5 (+104)
Stockport County: -0.5 (-125).

Total Goals:

Over 2.5: +102
Under 2.5: -125.

Expert Insights and Analysis

Bristol Rovers’ Strengths and Weaknesses

Bristol Rovers have shown resilience at home, but their defensive frailties are a significant concern. Players like Promise Omochere and Scott Sinclair will need to step up to challenge Stockport’s solid defense. However, their inability to maintain clean sheets could be their downfall.

Stockport County’s Strengths and Weaknesses

Stockport’s defensive record is their standout feature, conceding just 0.8 goals per match on average. Key players like Louie Barry and Kyle Wootton have been instrumental in their attacking success. However, their away form has been inconsistent, which could be a potential weakness.

Betting Recommendations

Moneyline: Bet on Stockport County for a safer option, given their higher probability of winning.
Spread: Consider Bristol Rovers +0.5 if you believe they can at least secure a draw.
Total Goals: Go for Over 2.5 goals if you expect an open and high-scoring game.
Both Teams to Score: “Yes” is a viable option, given both teams’ scoring records.
Correct Score: A 1-2 win for Stockport County offers good value with a 15% probability.

Conclusion

The Bristol Rovers vs. Stockport County match is set to be a thrilling encounter, with Stockport County holding the edge based on recent form and head-to-head records. However, Bristol Rovers’ home advantage and attacking potential could make this a closely contested game. For bettors, focusing on Stockport’s moneyline, over 2.5 goals, and both teams to score could yield positive results.

Remember to wager responsibly and use these insights to make informed decisions. Good luck!