Alaves vs. Real Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips

The upcoming clash between Deportivo Alaves and Real Madrid on April 13, 2025, promises to be an intriguing encounter. With Real Madrid vying for the top spot in La Liga and Alaves fighting to avoid relegation, this match is set to be a high-stakes affair. In this article, we will delve into the predictions, betting tips, analysis, and statistics to provide a comprehensive overview of what to expect from this exciting fixture.

Team Form and Recent Performances

Deportivo Alaves: Alaves have had a challenging season, currently sitting 17th in the La Liga standings with 30 points from 30 matches. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with only two wins in their last ten league games. Despite a crucial 1-0 victory against Girona in their last outing, Alaves have struggled to find consistency, particularly at home, where they have managed just one win in their last six matches.

Real Madrid: Real Madrid, on the other hand, are in a strong position, sitting second in the table with 63 points, just four points behind leaders Barcelona. However, their recent form has been shaky, with three consecutive defeats in all competitions, including a 3-0 loss to Arsenal in the Champions League. Despite these setbacks, Real Madrid have a solid away record, with seven wins, five draws, and three losses in their away fixtures this season.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams heavily favors Real Madrid. In their last 15 encounters, Real Madrid have won 13 times, while Alaves have managed just two victories. The most recent match saw Real Madrid secure a 3-2 win in September 2024. Historically, matches between these sides have been high-scoring affairs, with over 2.5 goals being scored in 80% of their last 15 matches.

Key Players to Watch

Deportivo Alaves:

• Kike Garcia: The former Middlesbrough striker has been a key player for Alaves this season, scoring 11 goals in La Liga. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial for Alaves in this match.
• Joan Jordan: Partnering with Antonio Blanco in midfield, Jordan has been instrumental in Alaves’ play, contributing with four goals and two assists.

Real Madrid:

• Kylian Mbappe: The French superstar has been in scintillating form, scoring 22 goals in La Liga this season. His pace and finishing ability make him a constant threat to any defense.
• Vinicius Junior: With 10 goals and five assists, Vinicius has been a key player for Real Madrid, providing creativity and flair on the wings.
• Jude Bellingham: The young English midfielder has impressed with his all-around play, contributing eight goals and six assists.

Betting Tips and Odds

Match Outcome: Given the form and quality of both teams, Real Madrid are the favorites to win this match. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Real Madrid victory at 1.66. Despite their recent struggles, Real Madrid’s overall form and superior squad depth make them strong contenders to secure all three points.

Both Teams to Score: While Real Madrid have a potent attack, their defense has shown vulnerabilities this season. Alaves, fighting for survival, will likely push forward at home, potentially finding the net. The odds for both teams to score are set at 1.80.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Considering the high-scoring nature of previous encounters between these teams, betting on over 2.5 goals could be a smart choice. The odds for this market are around 1.84.

Correct Score Prediction: A 3-1 victory for Real Madrid seems a plausible outcome, given their attacking prowess and Alaves’ defensive frailties.

Statistical Analysis

Goals Scored and Conceded:

• Deportivo Alaves: Alaves have scored 33 goals in 30 matches, averaging 1.1 goals per game. However, they have conceded 45 goals, averaging 1.5 goals against per game.
• Real Madrid: Real Madrid have scored 63 goals in 30 matches, averaging 2.1 goals per game. Defensively, they have conceded 31 goals, averaging 1.03 goals against per game.

Clean Sheets:

• Deportivo Alaves: Alaves have managed just two clean sheets in their last ten matches.
• Real Madrid: Real Madrid have kept two clean sheets in their last ten matches.

Head-to-Head Statistics:

• Total Matches: 15
• Alaves Wins: 2
• Real Madrid Wins: 13
• Goals Scored by Alaves: 10
• Goals Scored by Real Madrid: 41

Tactical Analysis

Deportivo Alaves: Alaves are likely to adopt a defensive approach, focusing on counter-attacks and set-pieces to create scoring opportunities. With key players like Kike Garcia and Joan Jordan, Alaves will aim to exploit any defensive lapses from Real Madrid.

Real Madrid: Real Madrid, under Carlo Ancelotti, are expected to dominate possession and play an attacking brand of football. With a front line featuring Mbappe, Vinicius, and Rodrygo, Real Madrid will look to press high and create chances through quick transitions and intricate passing.

Conclusion

The match between Deportivo Alaves and Real Madrid is set to be an exciting encounter with significant implications for both teams. While Alaves will be fighting to avoid relegation, Real Madrid will be aiming to close the gap on Barcelona at the top of the table. Based on current form, head-to-head records, and key player performances, Real Madrid are the favorites to win this match. However, Alaves’ fighting spirit and home advantage could make for a closely contested game.

Whether you’re a fan of either team or a betting enthusiast, this match promises to deliver plenty of action and drama. Be sure to tune in and enjoy what is set to be a thrilling La Liga encounter.