AFC Wimbledon vs. Crewe Prediction and Betting Tips

Posted on February 9, 2025 by author in Football

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The upcoming match between AFC Wimbledon and Crewe Alexandra in England’s League 2 is set to be a thrilling encounter. Scheduled for February 11, 2025, at 19:45 GMT, this game promises to be a pivotal moment in the season for both teams. With promotion aspirations on the line, fans and bettors alike are eager to analyze the odds, predictions, and betting tips for this clash. In this article, we’ll dive deep into the head-to-head statistics, team form, and expert predictions to help you make informed betting decisions.

Head-to-Head (H2H) Analysis

AFC Wimbledon and Crewe Alexandra have a history of closely contested matches. In their last five encounters, the teams have drawn four times, with only one win for Crewe. The most recent match on January 28, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw, highlighting the competitive nature of this fixture.

Recent H2H Results:

Jan 28, 2025: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Mar 23, 2024: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Sep 16, 2023: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Crewe
Jan 7, 2023: Crewe 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Oct 25, 2022: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Crewe

These results suggest that both teams are evenly matched, with a tendency for low-scoring games. The Under 2.5 Goals market has been a consistent trend in their recent meetings.

Team Form and Performance

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon has been in solid form recently, winning three of their last four league matches. They currently sit 5th in the League 2 table with 49 points, just one point ahead of Crewe. Their defensive record is particularly impressive, conceding only 20 goals in 28 games, the second-best in the league.

Recent Form: DWDDW (Last 5 Matches)
Key Stats:
- Average goals scored per game: 1.39
- Average goals conceded per game: 0.71
- Clean sheets in last 5 matches: 3

AFC Wimbledon’s home advantage could play a significant role in this match. They have been strong at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, losing only once in their last ten home games.

Crewe Alexandra

Crewe Alexandra, on the other hand, has struggled for consistency. They are currently 8th in the table with 48 points, having won only three of their last ten matches. Their recent form includes a four-game losing streak, which they snapped with a draw against AFC Wimbledon in their last outing.

Recent Form: LDDLW (Last 5 Matches)

Key Stats:

Average goals scored per game: 1.20
Average goals conceded per game: 1.00
Clean sheets in last 5 matches: 1

Crewe’s away form has been inconsistent, with only four wins in their last ten away matches. However, they have shown resilience in tight games, often grinding out draws.

Betting Odds and Predictions

Winner Prediction

AFC Wimbledon is the slight favorite to win this match, with odds of -113 (1.88) on the moneyline. Crewe Alexandra is priced at +334 (4.34), while the draw is available at +227 (3.27).

Expert Prediction: AFC Wimbledon to win (52% probability).
Simulated Score: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Crewe Alexandra.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

The No option for Both Teams to Score is favored, with a probability of 57%. This aligns with the teams’ recent defensive performances and their history of low-scoring encounters.

BTTS Odds:

Yes: 2.20
No: 1.62

Total Goals

The Under 2.5 Goals market is highly recommended, with a probability of 65%. Both teams have averaged fewer than 2.5 goals in their recent matches, and their H2H games have consistently been low-scoring.

Total Goals Odds:

Under 2.5: 1.40
Over 2.5: 2.88

Correct Score

For those looking for a riskier bet, the 2-0 correct score in favor of AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 18%. Alternatively, a 1-1 draw is also a plausible outcome, given the teams’ recent history.

Correct Score Odds:

2-0: 6.50
1-1: 5.00

Key Betting Tips

AFC Wimbledon to Win: With home advantage and better recent form, AFC Wimbledon is the safer bet.
Under 2.5 Goals: Both teams have strong defensive records, and their H2H games have been low-scoring.
No on Both Teams to Score: AFC Wimbledon’s solid defense makes it unlikely for both teams to score.
Correct Score 2-0: A calculated risk for higher returns, given AFC Wimbledon’s recent performances.

Conclusion

The AFC Wimbledon vs. Crewe Alexandra match is shaping up to be a tightly contested affair. While AFC Wimbledon holds a slight edge due to their home form and defensive solidity, Crewe’s resilience cannot be underestimated. For bettors, the Under 2.5 Goals and AFC Wimbledon to Win markets offer the best value. As always, remember to gamble responsibly and use these insights to make informed decisions.