AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction and Betting Tips

The Derby della Madonnina, pitting AC Milan against Inter Milan, is one of football’s most storied rivalries. As the two giants prepare to clash on February 2, 2025, fans and bettors alike are keen to analyze the teams’ current form, historical performances, and betting odds to make informed predictions.

Historical Context

The rivalry between AC Milan and Inter Milan dates back over a century, with numerous memorable encounters. Historically, Inter has a slight edge in head-to-head matchups. According to Transfermarkt, Inter has secured 85 wins, while AC Milan has 73 victories, and 67 matches have ended in draws.

Recent Form

In the current Serie A season, Inter Milan has showcased strong form, winning 15 of their 21 matches, with 8 of those victories achieved away from home. AC Milan, on the other hand, has had a mixed season, securing 9 wins out of 21 matches, with 5 of those at home.

The most recent encounter between these two sides was in the Supercoppa Italiana final on January 6, 2025, where AC Milan triumphed with a 3-2 victory. This win marked a significant achievement for AC Milan under their new manager, Sérgio Conceição, who took charge just a week prior.

Key Players to Watch

For AC Milan, forward Tammy Abraham has been a pivotal figure, contributing crucial goals, including in the recent Supercoppa victory. Midfielder Christian Pulisic has also been instrumental, providing creativity and assists.

Inter Milan’s attacking prowess is led by their dynamic forwards, who have consistently found the back of the net this season. Their midfield, known for its solidity and playmaking abilities, will be crucial in dictating the tempo of the game.

Betting Odds and Predictions

As of the latest available data, bookmakers have shown a tendency to favor Inter Milan in recent matchups. For instance, odds from a previous encounter listed Inter at 3/4 (1.75) with a 57.1% win probability, while AC Milan was at 7/2 (4.50) with a 22.2% chance.

Given Inter’s consistent performance this season and their superior league standing, they are considered favorites for the upcoming match. However, AC Milan’s recent Supercoppa victory and the positive impact of their new manager suggest they should not be underestimated.

Betting Tips

1. Match Outcome: While Inter Milan is favored, AC Milan’s recent form indicates potential for an upset. A double chance bet (AC Milan win or draw) could be a prudent option.
2. Total Goals: Historically, matches between these teams have been high-scoring. Considering both teams’ attacking strengths, betting on over 2.5 goals might be advisable.
3. Both Teams to Score: Given the offensive capabilities of both sides, it’s likely that both teams will find the net during the match.

Conclusion

The upcoming Derby della Madonnina promises to be a thrilling encounter, with both teams eager to assert their dominance. While Inter Milan holds a slight advantage based on season performance, AC Milan’s recent resurgence under new management adds an element of unpredictability. Bettors should consider both historical data and current form when making their predictions.