Venezia vs. Bologna: Prediction, Betting Tips

As Serie A action resumes on March 29, 2025, all eyes will be on the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo as Venezia FC hosts Bologna FC. This match is crucial for both teams, albeit for different reasons. Venezia is fighting to escape the relegation zone, while Bologna is aiming to solidify their position in the top four and secure a Champions League spot. Let’s dive into a comprehensive analysis of this intriguing clash, including predictions, betting tips, and key statistics.

Match Preview

Venezia FC: Fighting Against the Tide

Venezia FC finds itself in a precarious position as the Serie A season enters its final stretch. With just 20 points from 29 matches, the Arancioneroverdi are firmly entrenched in the relegation zone, five points adrift of safety. Their dismal record of 3 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats paints a picture of a team struggling to compete at the highest level of Italian football. At home, Venezia has managed to secure 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, indicating that the Pierluigi Penzo stadium has not provided the fortress-like advantage they desperately need. Their goal difference of 23 scored and 42 conceded further highlights their defensive frailties and offensive limitations.

In their most recent outing, Venezia managed to secure a hard-fought 0-0 draw against title-chasing Napoli. While the clean sheet will provide some encouragement, the inability to find the back of the net remains a significant concern.

Bologna FC: Riding High

On the other hand, Bologna FC is enjoying a stellar season. The Rossoblu are currently in 4th place with 53 points, just one point ahead of Juventus. Bologna’s recent form has been impressive, with four consecutive league wins, including a 5-0 thrashing of Lazio before the international break. This winning streak has put them in a strong position to secure a Champions League spot, a feat that seemed unlikely at the start of the season.

Bologna’s success can be attributed to their solid defense and potent attack. They have scored 49 goals while conceding 34, showcasing a well-balanced team. Key players like Riccardo Orsolini and Thijs Dallinga have been instrumental in their recent success.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head record between Venezia and Bologna shows that in their previous three matches, Venezia has won twice, while Bologna has won once. The most recent encounter saw Bologna secure a comfortable 3-0 victory at home in November 2024. However, Venezia’s home advantage and their desperate need for points could make this match more competitive.

Key Statistics:

• Venezia’s Recent Form: L-D-D-D-D
• Bologna’s Recent Form: W-W-W-W-L
• Goals Scored (Venezia): 23
• Goals Scored (Bologna): 49
• Goals Conceded (Venezia): 42
• Goals Conceded (Bologna): 34

Betting Tips and Predictions

Given the contrasting fortunes of the two teams, our betting tips favor an away win for Bologna FC. Here are some key betting tips and predictions for this match:

1. Bologna to Win: Bologna’s superior form and league position make them clear favorites against a struggling Venezia side. The odds for a Bologna win are attractive at 1.86.
2. Total Goals Under 2.5: Both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring matches recently. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Venezia’s last 5 matches and 4 of Bologna’s last 5 matches. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.81.
3. Both Teams Not to Score: Venezia’s struggles in front of goal, coupled with Bologna’s solid defense, suggest a clean sheet for the visitors is likely. This bet is priced at 1.84.
4. Double Chance (X2): For those seeking a safer bet, the double chance market offers good value. Venezia has drawn or lost 5 of their last 5 matches, while Bologna has won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches. The odds for a double chance (X2) are 1.23.
5. Correct Score Prediction: A 1-0 win for Bologna is a plausible outcome given their recent form and Venezia’s defensive approach. The odds for this correct score are 6.50.

Analysis

Venezia’s Tactical Approach

Venezia’s head coach, Eusebio Di Francesco, is likely to adopt a defensive approach in this match. Given their recent struggles in front of goal, Venezia will aim to keep things tight at the back and hit Bologna on the counter-attack. Their recent 0-0 draw against Napoli showcased their ability to frustrate stronger opponents, and they will need a similar performance to stand a chance against Bologna.

Bologna’s Strengths

Bologna, under the guidance of Vincenzo Italiano, has been playing an attractive brand of football. Their fast passing style and high pressing have been key to their success this season. With key players like Orsolini and Dallinga in fine form, Bologna will look to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities. Their solid defense, which has conceded just 34 goals, will also be crucial in keeping Venezia at bay.

Key Players to Watch

• Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna): The 28-year-old winger has been in excellent form and will be eager to prove his worth after being left out of the national team.
• Thijs Dallinga (Bologna): With Santiago Castro suspended, Dallinga will lead the line for Bologna. This is a great opportunity for him to showcase his talent.
• Jay Idzes (Venezia): The Dutch defender will be key to Venezia’s defensive efforts. His ability to read the game and make crucial interceptions will be vital.

Conclusion

In conclusion, this match is a classic case of a relegation struggler taking on a top-four contender. While Venezia will be desperate for points to avoid the drop, Bologna’s superior form and quality should see them come out on top. Our prediction is a narrow 1-0 win for Bologna, with the visitors’ solid defense and clinical attack proving too much for Venezia to handle.

Remember to gamble responsibly and enjoy the match!