The UEFA Nations League quarter-finals are heating up, and one of the most anticipated clashes is Croatia vs. France, scheduled for Thursday, March 20, 2025, at Stadion Poljud in Split. This matchup pits two footballing powerhouses against each other, each with a rich history and a burning desire to advance to the semi-finals. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or a betting enthusiast, this article dives deep into the Croatia vs. France prediction, betting tips, statistical analysis, and the latest betting odds to help you make informed decisions. Let’s break it all down and explore what’s at stake in this thrilling encounter.
When Croatia and France lock horns, it’s more than just a game—it’s a clash of titans with a storied past. Who can forget the 2018 FIFA World Cup final, where France triumphed 4-2 over Croatia to claim the coveted trophy? That match showcased France’s attacking flair and Croatia’s relentless spirit, led by the evergreen Luka Modrić. Since then, their matches have been fiercely contested, with France holding a historical edge but Croatia proving they’re no pushovers.
Fast forward to 2025, and this UEFA Nations League quarter-final promises another chapter in this compelling rivalry. France, under Didier Deschamps, are coming off a strong group stage performance, while Croatia, managed by Zlatko Dalić, are determined to upset the odds once again. So, what can we expect this time around? Let’s dive into the stats, form, and betting insights to find out.
Croatia
Croatia secured their spot in the quarter-finals as runners-up in Group A1, finishing behind Portugal. Their campaign was a mixed bag—two wins, two draws, and two losses from six matches, totaling eight points. A standout moment was Joško Gvardiol’s header to salvage a 1-1 draw against Portugal, showcasing their resilience. However, their recent form has been shaky, with three consecutive Nations League games without a win (a 1-1 draw with Portugal, a 0-1 loss to Scotland, and a wild 3-3 draw with Poland after squandering a two-goal lead).
The Vatreni rely heavily on their veteran core—Luka Modrić (184 caps), Ivan Perišić, Domagoj Vida, and Andrej Kramarić—who bring experience and leadership. But with Igor Matanović sidelined by injury, Croatia’s attacking options may be stretched thin. Can they tighten up defensively and capitalize on home advantage in Split?
France
France, meanwhile, topped Group A2 with a statement 3-1 victory over Italy in Milan, avenging an earlier 3-1 defeat. Les Bleus averaged three goals per game in their away Nations League matches this season, a testament to their attacking prowess. Players like Kylian Mbappé, Antoine Griezmann, and the returning Eduardo Camavinga (back from suspension) give France a dynamic edge. Adrien Rabiot’s brace against Italy further highlighted their depth.
Under Deschamps, who plans to step down after the 2026 World Cup, France are in fine form, winning three straight away matches. Their ability to score in bunches—coupled with a defense that’s conceded sparingly on the road—makes them a formidable opponent. But can they handle Croatia’s tenacity on their home turf?
The head-to-head record leans heavily in France’s favor. In their last nine competitive matches, Croatia have failed to beat Les Bleus, with six losses and three draws before finally snapping that streak in a 1-0 Nations League win in June 2022. Since then, however, France have reasserted dominance, including that World Cup final victory.
Key H2H Trends:
This history suggests a high likelihood of goals, making this matchup a goldmine for bettors looking at markets like “Both Teams to Score” (BTTS).
Croatia’s Home Advantage
Playing at Stadion Poljud could be a game-changer for Croatia. They’ve lost just once in their last five home Nations League matches, and both teams have scored in eight of their last ten home fixtures in the competition. Offensively, they’ve been inconsistent, averaging 1.33 goals per game in the group stage, but their defense has been leaky, conceding 1.5 goals per match on average.
France’s Away Dominance
France’s away form is nothing short of impressive. They’ve won their last three Nations League road games, scoring nine goals and conceding just two. Their attack is clicking, with Mbappé leading the charge (averaging 1.2 goals per game in competitive internationals this season), while their defense, anchored by Dayot Upamecano, has been stingy outside of the Italy hiccup.
Key Player Stats
Based on current form, historical trends, and statistical insights, here’s our prediction for Croatia vs. France on March 20, 2025:
France to Win 2-1
Why? France’s attacking firepower and away form give them the edge, but Croatia’s home resilience and knack for scoring against Les Bleus suggest they won’t go down without a fight. Expect a tight, competitive match with goals at both ends, but France’s superior depth should see them take a narrow victory in the first leg.
Ready to turn your football knowledge into profit? Here are our top betting tips for Croatia vs. France, backed by stats and analysis:
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes
France to Win
Over 2.5 Goals
Eduardo Camavinga to Be Booked
Kylian Mbappé to Score Anytime
Here’s a snapshot of the latest betting odds for Croatia vs. France (as of March 19, 2025, subject to change):
These odds reflect France’s favoritism but also highlight value in goal-based markets, given both teams’ scoring tendencies.
Tactical Breakdown
Croatia’s Game Plan
Croatia will likely lean on Modrić to control the midfield tempo, slowing France’s rapid transitions. Expect them to sit deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter with Kramarić and Perišić exploiting gaps. Gvardiol’s aerial presence will be key at set pieces—both defensively and offensively.
France’s Approach
France will aim to dominate possession and stretch Croatia’s defense with Mbappé’s pace and Griezmann’s creativity. Deschamps may deploy Camavinga and Tchouaméni to neutralize Modrić, while Rabiot’s late runs into the box could prove decisive. Their high press could force errors from Croatia’s backline.
X-Factor: The Crowd
Stadion Poljud’s passionate atmosphere could lift Croatia, especially if they score early. France, however, have the experience to weather hostile crowds—think back to their World Cup triumphs.
For Croatia, this is a chance to prove they’re still a force in European football, even as their golden generation nears its twilight. Reaching the semi-finals would be a statement of intent. For France, it’s about maintaining momentum and giving Deschamps a shot at another trophy before his exit. The stakes couldn’t be higher in this first-leg showdown.
Croatia vs. France on March 20, 2025, promises to be a rollercoaster of emotions. France enter as favorites, but Croatia’s home resilience and knack for defying the odds make this a must-watch. Whether you’re cheering from the stands or betting from your couch, this clash offers plenty of excitement—and opportunity.
So, what’s your take? Will France’s firepower prevail, or can Croatia pull off an upset? Drop your predictions in the comments below, and let’s get the conversation going! If you’re betting, gamble responsibly—check out resources like GambleAware.org for support.
Recent News 
March 19, 2025
March 19, 2025
March 19, 2025
March 19, 2025
March 19, 2025
March 19, 2025
March 19, 2025
March 19, 2025
March 19, 2025
Online Casinos
Stars Casino: Get $100 bonus cash + 200 bonus spins
Stars Casino: Get $100 bonus cash + 200 bonus spins
