Burnley vs. West Brom: Prediction, Betting Tips

The upcoming clash between Burnley and West Bromwich Albion in the English Championship promises to be an exciting encounter. Scheduled for March 11, 2025, at Turf Moor, this match is crucial for both teams as they vie for promotion. In this article, we’ll delve into predictions, betting tips, analysis, and key statistics to help you make informed decisions.

Match Preview

Burnley, currently third in the Championship, has been in stellar form this season. With 74 points from 36 matches, they are just two points behind league leaders Leeds United. West Brom, on the other hand, sits in sixth place with 55 points, fighting to secure a playoff spot.

Burnley’s recent performances have been impressive, especially at home. They have maintained an unbeaten record at Turf Moor in 2025, showcasing their defensive solidity with 26 clean sheets in 36 games. West Brom, however, has struggled on the road, failing to win any of their last 11 away matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is quite balanced. In their last 11 matches, Burnley has won twice, West Brom thrice, and six matches have ended in draws. The most recent encounter in November 2024 ended in a goalless draw.

Team News and Lineups

Burnley will be without Jonjo Shelvey, who is sidelined with an injury sustained in the FA Cup. Enock Agyei, Bashir Humphreys, Jordan Beyer, Aaron Ramsey, and Mike Tresor are also unavailable due to injuries. West Brom will miss captain Jed Wallace, who is out with a calf issue, and long-term absentee Josh Maja.

Predicted Lineups:

• Burnley (4-4-2): Trafford; Roberts, Taylor, Harwood-Bellis, Maatsen; Gudmundsson, Brownhill, Cork, Benson; Barnes, Foster.
• West Brom (4-2-3-1): Button; Furlong, Ajayi, Bartley, Townsend; Molumby, Livermore; Phillips, Swift, Grant; Armstrong.

Betting Tips

1. Result – Burnley to Win: Given Burnley’s unbeaten home record and West Brom’s poor away form, a home win for Burnley is a strong bet.
2. Goals – Under 2.5: Five of the last seven matches between these teams have produced under 2.5 goals. Burnley’s solid defense and West Brom’s struggles in attack suggest a low-scoring game.
3. Both Teams to Score – No: Burnley’s defensive record at home is impeccable, and West Brom has found it challenging to score on the road.

Betting Odds

• Burnley to Win: 1.97 (Melbet)
• Draw: 3.24 (1win)
• West Brom to Win: 4.27 (1win)
• Under 2.5 Goals: 1.49 (bet365)
• Both Teams to Score – No: 1.69 (Melbet)

Analysis

Burnley’s strength lies in their defensive organization and ability to control matches. Under the guidance of manager Scott Parker, they have developed a style that combines attacking flair with defensive solidity. Their ability to grind out results, especially at home, makes them formidable opponents.

West Brom, managed by Tony Mowbray, has shown resilience in recent matches but has struggled to maintain consistency. Their away form is a significant concern, and they will need to improve if they hope to secure a positive result at Turf Moor.

Key Statistics

• Burnley’s Home Record: Unbeaten in 2025, with seven consecutive clean sheets.
• West Brom’s Away Record: Winless in their last 11 away matches.
• Head-to-Head: Burnley has won 2, West Brom 3, and 6 draws in their last 11 matches.
• Goals Scored: Burnley has scored 49 goals and conceded 10 in 36 matches. West Brom has scored 46 and conceded 32.

Conclusion

The Burnley vs. West Brom match is set to be a thrilling encounter with significant implications for both teams’ promotion hopes. Burnley’s defensive prowess and home advantage make them favorites, but West Brom’s resilience could pose a challenge. For bettors, a Burnley win, under 2.5 goals, and both teams not to score are solid bets.

Stay tuned for more updates and enjoy the match!