Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions Prediction and Betting Tips

The Alabama A&M Bulldogs and the Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions are set to clash in a Southwestern Athletic Conference (SWAC) showdown on Monday, February 17, 2025, at H.O. Clemmons Arena in Pine Bluff, Arkansas. This game promises to be an intriguing matchup between two teams looking to turn their seasons around. With both teams struggling in the standings, this game could be a pivotal moment for either squad. In this article, we’ll dive into the key details, predictions, and betting tips for this exciting college basketball matchup.

Game Overview

• Date and Time: Monday, February 17, 2025, at 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: H.O. Clemmons Arena, Pine Bluff, Arkansas
• TV Broadcast: SWAC Digital Network

The Alabama A&M Bulldogs (8-17, 4-8 SWAC) are visiting the Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions (4-21, 1-11 SWAC) in a conference game that could have significant implications for both teams. Alabama A&M is looking to build on their recent win against Mississippi Valley State, while Arkansas Pine Bluff aims to snap a three-game losing streak.

Team Analysis

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

The Bulldogs have had a challenging season, with a 4-8 record in SWAC play and an overall record of 8-17. Despite their struggles, they have shown flashes of potential, particularly in their ability to score from beyond the arc. Alabama A&M averages 8.4 made three-pointers per game, ranking 102nd in the nation.

Key Players:

• Anthony Bryant: The leading scorer for the Bulldogs, averaging 14.1 points per game and shooting 40.4% from three-point range.
• Chad Moodie: A dominant presence in the paint, averaging 11.2 points and 5.7 rebounds per game.

Strengths:

• Strong three-point shooting.
• Solid rebounding, averaging 33.8 rebounds per game (86th in the nation).

Weaknesses:

• High turnover rate, averaging 15.3 turnovers per game (360th in the nation).
• Struggles on the road, with a 1-8 record away from home.

Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions

The Golden Lions have had an even tougher season, with a 1-11 record in SWAC play and an overall record of 4-21. However, they have been slightly better at home, with a 4-5 record at H.O. Clemmons Arena.

Key Players:

• Doctor Bradley: The standout performer for UAPB, averaging 20.3 points and 9.8 rebounds per game.
• Christian Moore: A reliable scorer, averaging 10.3 points per game.

Strengths:

• Strong field goal shooting, averaging 45.1% from the field.
• Home-court advantage, with four of their wins coming at home.

Weaknesses:

• Poor three-point defense, allowing opponents to shoot 35.5% from beyond the arc.
• Low free-throw percentage, shooting just 60.1% from the line (364th in the nation).

Head-to-Head History

Alabama A&M has dominated the recent matchups between these two teams, winning the last 10 games against Arkansas Pine Bluff. In their most recent meeting on January 4, 2025, the Bulldogs secured a 10-point victory, 89-79.

Betting Odds and Predictions

Current Betting Odds

• Spread: Alabama A&M -2.5
• Over/Under: 160.5 points
• Moneyline: Alabama A&M -137, Arkansas Pine Bluff +130.

Dimers’ Prediction

Dimers’ predictive model, based on 10,000 simulations, gives Alabama A&M a 60% chance of winning, with a projected final score of 81-78.

Expert Picks

• Against the Spread (ATS): Arkansas Pine Bluff +2.54.
• Over/Under: Under 160.5 points.

Betting Insights

• Alabama A&M has a 6-16-0 record against the spread this season.
• Arkansas Pine Bluff has covered the spread in 9 of their 22 games this season.
• The combined average points scored by both teams (149.6) is 10.9 points below the over/under line of 160.5.

Key Factors to Watch

1. Three-Point Shooting: Alabama A&M’s ability to knock down threes could be a game-changer, especially if Arkansas Pine Bluff struggles to defend the perimeter.
2. Turnovers: Both teams have high turnover rates, so whichever team can limit mistakes will have a significant advantage.
3. Home-Court Advantage: Arkansas Pine Bluff has been more competitive at home, and their fans could provide a boost in this crucial matchup.

Final Prediction

While Arkansas Pine Bluff has the home-court advantage and a strong performer in Doctor Bradley, Alabama A&M’s recent dominance in this matchup and their superior three-point shooting give them the edge. Expect a close game, but the Bulldogs should come out on top.

Final Score Prediction: Alabama A&M 80, Arkansas Pine Bluff 78.

Betting Tips

1. Take Alabama A&M on the Moneyline: With a 60% win probability, the Bulldogs are the safer bet.
2. Consider Arkansas Pine Bluff +2.5: The Golden Lions have a strong chance to cover the spread, especially at home.
3. Bet the Under: Both teams have struggled offensively, and the combined average points suggest a lower-scoring game.

This game is a must-watch for college basketball fans and bettors alike. Whether you’re rooting for the Bulldogs or the Golden Lions, this SWAC showdown promises to deliver excitement and drama. Make sure to tune in and enjoy the action!