Leganes vs. Alaves Prediction and Betting Tips

Leganes vs. Alaves Prediction and Betting Tips

Posted on February 13, 2025 by in Football
Leganes vs. Alaves Prediction and Betting Tips
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The upcoming La Liga clash between CD Leganés and Deportivo Alavés on Saturday, February 15, 2025, is more than just a football match—it’s a survival battle. Both teams are languishing near the bottom of the table, with Leganés in 17th place (23 points) and Alavés in 19th (21 points). This six-pointer at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque could significantly impact the relegation race. In this article, we’ll dive into the latest team news, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to help you make informed decisions.

Match Overview

  • Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
  • Time: 14:00 CET / 13:00 UK
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
  • Competition: La Liga, Matchday 24

Both teams are desperate for points. Leganés are just one point above the relegation zone, while Alavés are two points behind them. A win for either side could provide a much-needed boost in their fight for survival.

Team Form and Performance

CD Leganés

Leganés have struggled this season, particularly in attack. With only 19 goals scored in 23 matches, they have the lowest goal tally in La Liga. Their recent form is equally concerning, with just 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches across all competitions. Their home record is mixed, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque.

Key players like Sergio González (returning from suspension) and Miguel de la Fuente (1 goal this season) will need to step up. However, injuries to Enric Franquesa and the suspension of Yvan Neyou could weaken their midfield.

Deportivo Alavés

Alavés, under manager Eduardo Coudet, have also been inconsistent. They’ve scored 25 goals this season but have conceded 35, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Their away form is particularly poor, with just 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses on the road.

Despite their struggles, Alavés have shown glimpses of attacking prowess, with Kike García (9 goals) and Carlos Vicente (3 goals, 3 assists) being key contributors. However, injuries to Tomas Conechny and Jesus Owono could disrupt their plans.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent encounters between these two sides have been tightly contested. In their last five meetings, Alavés have 2 wins, while the other 3 matches ended in draws. The most recent clash in November 2024 finished 1-1, a result that has become a recurring theme in this fixture.

Historically, Leganés have struggled against Alavés, failing to secure a win in their last five encounters. This psychological edge could play a role in the upcoming match.

Betting Tips and Odds

Match Result: Away Win for Alavés

Despite their lower league position, Alavés have a slight edge in this fixture. Their superior head-to-head record and slightly better attacking stats make them a solid pick for an away win. The odds for an Alavés victory are 2.63 at 1win.

Both Teams to Score: No

Given the offensive struggles of both teams, this match is likely to be low-scoring. Leganés have failed to score in three of their last five matches, while Alavés have been inconsistent in front of goal. The odds for “No” in the “Both Teams to Score” market are 1.73 at Melbet.

Under 2.5 Goals

This bet aligns with the defensive nature of both teams. Leganés have seen under 2.5 goals in 16 of their 23 league matches, while Alavés have had similar results in 12 of their last 14 games. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.11 at 1xBet.

Correct Score: 1-1 Draw

Given the history of tight encounters between these two sides, a 1-1 draw is a plausible outcome. This prediction is supported by Dimers’ simulation model, which gives this scoreline a 13% probability.

Key Players to Watch

Leganés

  • Sergio González: The central defender’s return from suspension will bolster Leganés’ backline.
  • Miguel de la Fuente: The forward needs to rediscover his scoring touch to help his team escape the relegation zone.

Alavés

  • Kike García: With 9 goals this season, García is Alavés’ primary attacking threat.
  • Carlos Vicente: The winger’s creativity and assists could be crucial in breaking down Leganés’ defense.

Predicted Lineups

Leganés

  • Goalkeeper: Marko Dmitrović
  • Defenders: Valentin Rosier, Sergio González, Matija Nastasić, Adria Altimira
  • Midfielders: Juan Cruz, Renato Tapia, Darko Brašanac, Óscar Rodríguez
  • Forwards: Miguel de la Fuente, Dani Raba

Alavés

  • Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera
  • Defenders: Nahuel Tenaglia, Abdel Abqar, Moussa Diarra, Manu Sánchez
  • Midfielders: Ander Guevara, Antonio Blanco, Carlos Vicente
  • Forwards: Toni Martínez, Kike García

Conclusion

The Leganés vs. Alavés match is a classic relegation six-pointer, with both teams fighting for survival. While Alavés have a slight edge based on recent form and head-to-head records, the match is likely to be a low-scoring, tightly contested affair. Betting on an away win for Alavésunder 2.5 goals, and both teams not to score could offer the best value.

As always, bet responsibly and within your means. For more insights and betting tips, stay tuned to our platform!

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