Tommy Paul vs Ethan Quinn Prediction and Betting Tips

The upcoming match between Tommy Paul and Ethan Quinn at the Dallas Open on February 6, 2025, promises to be an intriguing encounter between two American tennis players at different stages of their careers. As the defending champion and current World No. 9, Paul enters the match as the clear favorite. However, the young and ambitious Quinn, ranked 199th, aims to make a significant impact on the ATP Tour.

Player Profiles

Tommy Paul

At 27 years old, Tommy Paul has established himself as a formidable presence on the ATP Tour. His 2025 season has been impressive, boasting a 6-2 match record and an 18-9 set record. Paul’s powerful forehand and solid baseline game have been pivotal in his recent successes, including a quarterfinal appearance at the Australian Open, where he narrowly lost to Alexander Zverev. In his opening match at the Dallas Open, Paul overcame Jenson Brooksby in a three-set battle, demonstrating resilience and tactical acumen.

Ethan Quinn

Ethan Quinn, 20, is an emerging talent eager to climb the ATP rankings. With a 4-1 match record and a 9-2 set record in 2025, Quinn has shown promise, particularly with his strong service games and a potent forehand. After successfully navigating the qualifiers at the Dallas Open, he secured a straight-sets victory over compatriot Trevor Svajda in the first round, highlighting his potential to challenge higher-ranked opponents.

Head-to-Head

Paul and Quinn have faced each other once before, at the Hall of Fame Open in 2023, where Paul emerged victorious with a 6-4, 6-2 win. This prior encounter gives Paul a psychological edge, but Quinn’s development since then could present new challenges.

Match Analysis

Paul’s experience and current form position him as the favorite. His ability to win 72.6% of first-serve points, as evidenced in his match against Brooksby, underscores his service strength. Additionally, his proficiency in baseline rallies and defensive capabilities make him a tough opponent on indoor hard courts.

Quinn, while less experienced, brings youthful energy and a fearless approach. His impressive first-serve win percentage of 76.7% in the previous round indicates a strong service game, which will be crucial against a returner of Paul’s caliber. Quinn’s aggressive style and willingness to take risks could disrupt Paul’s rhythm, especially if he maintains a high level of first-serve accuracy.

Betting Odds and Predictions

According to Betwinner, Paul is favored with odds of 1.18, translating to a 65.34% chance of victory, while Quinn stands at 5.0 odds, indicating a 34.66% probability of winning.

Given Paul’s superior ranking, experience, and recent form, he is expected to secure the win. However, considering Quinn’s current momentum and the potential for him to challenge Paul, a straight-sets victory for Paul is not guaranteed. A plausible prediction is that Paul will win in three sets, with Quinn managing to claim a set through his aggressive play.

Betting Tips

1. Match Outcome: Betting on Paul to win is a relatively safe option, given his track record and higher ranking.
2. Total Sets: Considering Quinn’s potential to challenge, betting on the match going to three sets could offer value.
3. Handicap Betting: Quinn with a +4.5 game handicap might be a prudent choice, anticipating that he can keep the sets competitive.
4. First Set Winner: Quinn may start strong, making a bet on him to win the first set an interesting option, especially with favorable odds.

Conclusion

While Tommy Paul is the favorite to advance, Ethan Quinn’s recent performances suggest he should not be underestimated. This match offers an opportunity to witness a rising star test his mettle against an established player. For bettors, exploring markets beyond the outright winner, such as total sets or game handicaps, could provide value, reflecting the potential competitiveness of the encounter.