Man Utd vs Southampton prediction, betting tips and odds

Manchester United is set to host Southampton at Old Trafford on Thursday, January 16, 2025, in a Premier League encounter that presents a significant opportunity for the Red Devils to secure a much-needed victory. Historically, Manchester United has dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last 15 Premier League matches against Southampton, with their most recent defeat dating back to January 2016.

Recent Form and Team News

Manchester United currently sits 14th in the Premier League standings, a position that falls short of their traditional standards. However, recent performances have shown promise. A commendable 2-2 draw against Liverpool at Anfield was followed by a resilient FA Cup victory over Arsenal, where United triumphed in a penalty shootout after a 1-1 draw.

In terms of team selection, United will be without Diogo Dalot, who is serving a suspension, and several players sidelined due to injury, including Mason Mount, Luke Shaw, Victor Lindelof, and Jonny Evans. Amad Diallo is expected to feature at right wing-back, bringing creativity and pace to the flank.

Southampton, languishing at the bottom of the league table, has endured a challenging season with only one victory to their name. Their recent 5-0 home defeat to Brentford underscores their defensive vulnerabilities. The Saints have struggled on the road, remaining winless in their last 17 away games in the Premier League.

Betting Odds and Predictions

Bookmakers have installed Manchester United as clear favorites for this fixture. According to Ladbrokes, the odds are:

• Manchester United to win: 1/3 (1.33) – Implied probability of 75%
• Draw: 49/10 (5.90) – Implied probability of 16.9%
• Southampton to win: 9/1 (10.00) – Implied probability of 10%

Given United’s attacking prowess and Southampton’s defensive frailties, a 3-1 victory for Manchester United appears plausible. While United has struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding in their last six matches, Southampton’s lack of firepower suggests they may find it difficult to capitalize fully.

Key Players to Watch

• Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United): The Portuguese midfielder has been instrumental in United’s recent upturn in form, contributing both goals and assists. His creativity and vision will be crucial in breaking down Southampton’s defense.
• Amad Diallo (Manchester United): Expected to start at right wing-back, Diallo’s pace and dribbling ability can pose significant threats to Southampton’s backline.
• Che Adams (Southampton): As Southampton’s leading scorer, Adams will need to be at his clinical best to exploit any defensive lapses from United.

Betting Tips

1. Manchester United to Win by Two Goals: Considering the odds of 10/3, this bet offers value given United’s superior quality and Southampton’s defensive issues.
2. Amad Diallo to Score or Assist: Priced at 19/20, backing Diallo to contribute directly to a goal is a reasonable punt, especially given his anticipated advanced role on the right flank.
3. Over 2.5 Goals in the Match: With both teams exhibiting defensive vulnerabilities, a game with three or more goals is a likely outcome.

Conclusion

Manchester United enters this fixture with a favorable historical record and recent momentum, making them strong contenders to secure all three points against a struggling Southampton side. While football often defies expectations, the current form and statistics suggest a home victory is the most probable outcome.

As always, bettors are advised to gamble responsibly, considering all available information before placing any wagers.