Empoli vs. Venezia: Prediction, Betting Tips

Posted on April 18, 2025 by author in Football

As the Serie A season progresses, the clash between Empoli and Venezia on April 20, 2025, is shaping up to be a pivotal encounter. Both teams are fighting to avoid relegation, making this match crucial for their survival in Italy’s top flight. In this article, we will delve into the prediction, betting tips, analysis, and statistics for this highly anticipated game.

Team Form and Recent Performances

Empoli’s Struggles: Empoli has had a challenging season, currently sitting in 19th place with 24 points. Their recent form has been dismal, with no wins in their last 17 Serie A matches, drawing five and losing 12. Their last league victory dates back to early December 2024, and they have struggled to find the back of the net, scoring only 0.75 goals per game. Empoli’s home record is particularly concerning, with just one win in 15 matches.

Venezia’s Revival: Venezia, on the other hand, has shown signs of improvement under coach Eusebio Di Francesco. They are currently 18th, also with 24 points, but have managed to leapfrog Empoli after a crucial 1-0 victory over Monza. Venezia’s defense has tightened up, conceding only 0.63 goals per game in their last eight matches, compared to 1.38 earlier in the season. Their recent form includes one win, five draws, and one loss in their last seven games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Empoli and Venezia is quite balanced. In their last nine matches, Empoli has won twice, Venezia three times, and four matches have ended in a draw. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a 1-1 draw. Historically, these encounters have been low-scoring, with four of the last five matches producing two or fewer goals.

Key Players and Team News

Empoli: Empoli’s squad has been plagued by injuries, with key players like Ardian Ismajli, Tino Anjorin, and Christian Kouame sidelined. Their attacking options are limited, and they will rely heavily on Sebastiano Esposito, who has scored eight goals this season. The team’s defensive frailties have also been exposed, conceding 1.52 goals per game.

Venezia: Venezia will be without their recent match-winner Daniel Fila, who is suspended. However, they have other attacking options like Gaetano Oristanio and Chris Gytkjaer, who will be crucial in breaking down Empoli’s defense. Venezia’s improved defensive organization will be key in this match, as they aim to secure back-to-back wins for the first time this season.

Betting Tips and Odds

Prediction: Given the current form and head-to-head record, this match is likely to be a closely contested affair. Both teams have struggled to score, and a low-scoring draw seems a plausible outcome. However, Venezia’s recent defensive improvements give them a slight edge.

Betting Tips:

Under 2.5 Goals: With both teams struggling to find the net, betting on under 2.5 goals is a safe option. The stats show a 61% possibility for this game to produce under 2.5 goals.
Venezia to Win or Draw: Given Venezia’s recent form and Empoli’s poor home record, betting on Venezia to win or draw offers good value. The odds for this bet are 1.63.
Both Teams to Score – No: Considering the low-scoring nature of their recent encounters, betting on both teams not to score is another viable option. The odds for this bet are 1.83.

Statistical Analysis

Empoli’s Statistics:

Goals Scored: 0.75 per game
Goals Conceded: 1.52 per game
Clean Sheets: 19%
Failed to Score: 42%

Venezia’s Statistics:

Goals Scored: 0.77 per game
Goals Conceded: 1.42 per game
Clean Sheets: 16%
Failed to Score: 48%

Conclusion

The Empoli vs. Venezia match is set to be a tense and closely fought battle, with both teams desperate for points to avoid relegation. While Empoli’s home advantage might play a role, Venezia’s recent defensive solidity and slight edge in form could see them come away with a crucial result. Betting on a low-scoring game with a potential draw or a narrow Venezia win seems to be the most prudent approach.

As always, betting should be done responsibly, and it’s essential to consider all factors before placing any wagers. Enjoy the game and may the best team win!