Sevilla vs. Alaves: Prediction, Betting Tips

Posted on April 18, 2025 by author in Football

The upcoming La Liga clash between Sevilla and Deportivo Alaves promises to be an intriguing encounter. Scheduled for April 20, 2025, at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, this match holds significant implications for both teams. Sevilla, currently struggling to find form, will be eager to secure a much-needed victory, while Alaves, fighting to avoid relegation, will be equally determined to snatch points away from home.

Team Form and Recent Performances

Sevilla has had a turbulent season, marked by managerial changes and inconsistent performances. The recent sacking of Garcia Pimienta and the appointment of Joaquin Caparros as interim manager reflect the club’s desperate attempt to stabilize their campaign. Sevilla’s recent form has been disappointing, with four consecutive losses against tough opponents like Real Betis, Atletico Madrid, and Valencia. Despite these setbacks, Sevilla remains a formidable side, especially at home, where they will look to leverage their fan support.

Deportivo Alaves, on the other hand, has also faced its share of struggles. Currently positioned just above the relegation zone, Alaves has managed to secure some crucial points in recent matches. Their away form has been slightly better, with a notable victory against Girona and draws against Las Palmas, Mallorca, and Leganes. However, their recent home defeat to Real Madrid and a loss to Rayo Vallecano highlight their vulnerability.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head record between Sevilla and Alaves shows a competitive history. In their last 16 matches, Sevilla has won 7 times, Alaves 4 times, and 5 matches have ended in a draw. Sevilla has scored 21 goals in these encounters, while Alaves has netted 17. This suggests that while Sevilla has a slight edge, Alaves is capable of pulling off surprises.

Key Players to Watch

For Sevilla, Dodi Lukebakio stands out as a key player. With 11 goals and 2 assists in La Liga this season, Lukebakio’s attacking prowess will be crucial for Sevilla’s chances. Additionally, the playmaker Saul Niguez and striker Isaac Romero, who have contributed significantly to Sevilla’s goal tally, will be players to watch.

Alaves will rely heavily on their defensive solidity and the performances of key players like Carlos Vicente and Carles Alena. Vicente, in particular, has been instrumental in creating scoring opportunities and will be a threat to Sevilla’s defense.

Tactical Analysis

Sevilla is expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on a compact midfield to control the game. The suspension of Kike Salas and injuries to key players like Ruben Vargas and Akor Adams will force Caparros to make tactical adjustments. Sevilla’s strategy will likely involve maintaining possession and exploiting the flanks to create scoring opportunities.

Alaves, under the guidance of Eduardo Coudet, will likely adopt a more defensive approach, aiming to hit Sevilla on the counter-attack. The absence of Manu Sanchez due to suspension will be a significant blow, but Alaves will look to their midfield duo of Joan Jordan and Antonio Blanco to control the tempo and disrupt Sevilla’s play.

Betting Tips and Odds

The betting odds for this match favor Sevilla, with Bet365 offering odds of $2.00 for a Sevilla win, $4.20 for an Alaves win, and $3.10 for a draw. The over/under for total goals scored is set at 2.5, with odds of $2.75 for the over and $1.44 for the under.

Betting Tips:

Head to Head: Betting on Alaves at $4.20 with Bet365 could be a value bet, considering their recent performances and Sevilla’s inconsistent form.
Total Goals: Betting on over 2.5 goals at $2.75 with Bet365 is recommended, given the attacking capabilities of both teams and their defensive vulnerabilities.

Prediction

Based on current form, head-to-head statistics, and tactical analysis, this match is expected to be closely contested. Sevilla’s home advantage and the attacking threat posed by Lukebakio and Romero give them a slight edge. However, Alaves’ resilience and ability to perform away from home cannot be underestimated.

Predicted Score: Sevilla 2-1 Alaves

Conclusion

The Sevilla vs. Alaves match is set to be an exciting encounter with significant implications for both teams. Sevilla will be desperate to end their losing streak and climb up the La Liga table, while Alaves will be fighting to avoid relegation. With key players on both sides and tactical battles to watch, this match promises to deliver thrilling football action.

Stay tuned for more updates and enjoy the game!