Las Palmas vs. Atletico Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips

As the La Liga 2024-25 season progresses, the upcoming clash between Las Palmas and Atletico Madrid promises to be an intriguing encounter. Scheduled for April 19, 2025, at the Estadio de Gran Canaria, this match holds significant implications for both teams. In this article, we will delve into the prediction, betting tips, analysis, and statistics surrounding this fixture.

Match Preview

Las Palmas, currently in the relegation zone, are fighting to stay in La Liga. With 29 points from 31 matches, they sit in 18th place, just one point behind 17th-placed Alaves . Their recent form has been a mix of highs and lows, with a notable 3-1 victory over Getafe in their last outing. This win was their first since before the winter break, and they will be looking to build on this momentum.

Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, are in a strong position, sitting third in the league table with 63 points. They are seven points behind leaders Barcelona and are aiming to secure a top-four finish to guarantee Champions League football next season. Diego Simeone’s side has shown resilience, bouncing back from a six-game winless streak with consecutive victories over Sevilla and Real Valladolid.

Team News and Lineups

Las Palmas: The home side will be without Jasper Cillessen, who is back in training but not yet match-fit . Alberto Moleiro, who provided an assist in their last match, might get a start. Key players like Fabio Silva and Sandro Ramirez, who have scored 18 goals between them this season, will be crucial for Las Palmas.

Atletico Madrid: The visitors will miss Rodrigo De Paul, who is training separately from the group. Samuel Lino, however, has returned to full training and could be available for selection. Julian Alvarez, with 14 goals this season, and Alexander Sørloth, with 12 goals, will be key attacking threats for Atletico.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head record between these two teams heavily favors Atletico Madrid. In their last 11 matches, Atletico has won nine times, while Las Palmas has managed just two victories. The most recent encounter saw Atletico secure a 2-0 win at home in November 2024.

Key Stats:

• Las Palmas have scored 37 goals in 31 matches, ranking ninth in La Liga.
• Atletico Madrid has conceded only 26 goals, the second-best defensive record in the league.
• Atletico has a +27 goal differential, while Las Palmas has a -15 goal differential.

Betting Tips

1. Result – Atletico Madrid to Win: Given their superior form and head-to-head record, Atletico Madrid are strong favorites to win this match.
2. Goals – Over 2.5 Goals: Six of the last seven matches between these teams have produced over 2.5 goals.
3. Both Teams to Score – Yes: Despite their struggles, Las Palmas have shown they can score, and with Atletico’s attacking prowess, both teams finding the net is a likely outcome.

Betting Odds

• Atletico Madrid to Win: 1.55 (Bet365)
• Draw: 4.20 (Bet365)
• Las Palmas to Win: 5.75 (Bet365)
• Over 2.5 Goals: 1.80 (Bet365)
• Under 2.5 Goals: 2.00 (Bet365)

Analysis

Las Palmas: The home side will need to capitalize on their recent win and the home advantage. Their defense has been leaky, conceding 52 goals this season, which is the second-worst in the league. However, their attacking trio of Silva, Ramirez, and McBurnie can pose a threat to Atletico’s defense.

Atletico Madrid: Simeone’s men will look to continue their winning streak and maintain pressure on the top two. Their defense has been solid, and with key players like Alvarez and Sørloth in form, they have the firepower to outscore Las Palmas.

Conclusion

This match is crucial for both teams for different reasons. Las Palmas are fighting for survival, while Atletico Madrid are aiming to secure a top-four finish. Given the form and statistics, Atletico Madrid are favorites to win, but Las Palmas could spring a surprise if they play to their potential.

For bettors, backing Atletico Madrid to win, over 2.5 goals, and both teams to score are sensible options. As always, it’s important to bet responsibly and consider all factors before placing a wager.