Benfica II vs. Maritimo: Prediction, Betting Tips

The upcoming clash between Benfica II and Maritimo in the Segunda Liga promises to be an intriguing encounter. Scheduled for April 13, 2025, at the Caixa Futebol Campus in Seixal, Portugal, this match is set to capture the attention of football enthusiasts and bettors alike. In this comprehensive article, we will delve into the prediction, betting tips, analysis, and statistics surrounding this fixture.

Team Form and Recent Performances

Benfica II:

Benfica II has had a mixed season so far, currently sitting in the 5th position in the Segunda Liga. Their recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with two wins, one loss, and two draws in their last five matches. They have managed to score an average of 1.29 goals per match while conceding 1.07 goals. Notably, Benfica II has kept clean sheets in their last two games, showcasing their defensive solidity.

Maritimo:

Maritimo, on the other hand, is positioned 12th in the league standings. Their recent form mirrors that of Benfica II, with two wins, one loss, and two draws in their last five matches. Maritimo has scored an average of 1.18 goals per match and conceded 1.46 goals. Despite their lower league position, Maritimo has shown resilience, particularly in their away games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Benfica II and Maritimo reveals a competitive history. In their last three encounters, Maritimo has emerged victorious twice, while one match ended in a draw. Benfica II has struggled to find the back of the net against Maritimo, scoring only 0.7 goals per match on average, compared to Maritimo’s 1.7 goals.

Key Players to Watch

Benfica II:

• Gustavo Varela: With seven goals this season, Varela is a key attacking threat for Benfica II. His ability to find the net consistently makes him a player to watch.
• Diogo Prioste: Prioste has contributed five goals and four assists, showcasing his playmaking abilities.

Maritimo:

• Martim Tavares: Tavares has been Maritimo’s standout performer, scoring seven goals this season. His clinical finishing will be crucial for Maritimo’s chances.
• Carlos Daniel: With six goals to his name, Daniel adds depth to Maritimo’s attacking options.

Betting Tips and Odds

Match Outcome:

The betting odds suggest a closely contested match. The probability of a Benfica II win is 27%, a draw is 27%, and a Maritimo win is 46%. Given the form and head-to-head record, a draw seems a plausible outcome.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS):

The likelihood of both teams scoring in this match is 47%. Considering the attacking capabilities of both sides, betting on BTTS could be a viable option.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals:

The probability of the match having over 2.5 goals is 42%, while under 2.5 goals is 58%. Given the defensive records of both teams, betting on under 2.5 goals might be a safer bet.

Correct Score Prediction:

A 1-1 draw appears to be a reasonable prediction based on the teams’ recent performances and head-to-head record.

Statistical Analysis

Goals Scored and Conceded:

• Benfica II has scored an average of 1.29 goals per match and conceded 1.07 goals.
• Maritimo has scored an average of 1.18 goals per match and conceded 1.46 goals.

Clean Sheets:

• Benfica II has kept clean sheets in their last two matches.
• Maritimo has not conceded more than one goal in their last five matches.

Home and Away Form:

• Benfica II has won 57% of their home matches this season.
• Maritimo has won 43% of their away matches.

Tactical Analysis

Benfica II:

Benfica II typically employs a balanced approach, focusing on maintaining possession and building attacks from the back. Their defensive organization has been a key strength, as evidenced by their recent clean sheets. In attack, they rely on the creativity of players like Diogo Prioste to unlock defenses.

Maritimo:

Maritimo, on the other hand, tends to play a more direct style of football. They capitalize on quick transitions and counter-attacks, utilizing the pace of their forwards. Defensively, Maritimo has shown resilience, particularly in away games, where they have managed to keep their opponents at bay.

Conclusion

The Benfica II vs. Maritimo match promises to be an exciting encounter with both teams having their strengths and weaknesses. While Benfica II’s defensive solidity and home advantage make them slight favorites, Maritimo’s resilience and recent form cannot be overlooked. A draw seems to be the most likely outcome, with both teams expected to score.

For bettors, focusing on markets such as BTTS and under 2.5 goals could provide value. Additionally, keeping an eye on key players like Gustavo Varela and Martim Tavares could offer insights into potential goal scorers.

As always, it’s essential to gamble responsibly and consider all factors before placing any bets. Enjoy the match and may the best team win!